NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	81		Excitement	6.8 [442]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +16.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.5 [308]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -25.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.05	0.02	20	74%	0.20	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	11	41%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Vlade Divac	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	14	35%	-0.12	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	14	62%	0.21	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.07
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	5	33%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	15	34%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	25.3	16.7	28.0	2.5	36.5	133.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.5%

SAC -16.3%

LAC +28.4%

LAC +16.7%

SAC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	17.3	15.5	92.0	97.8	100.9
season	14.4	16.1		103.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	16.7	14.6	14.0	15.0
LAC	17.8	16.8	17.3	17.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	60	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-15	23	14.5	16.2	-1.75	17.4	17.1	0.35
Vlade Divac	68	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-7	7	14.8	15.8	-1.01	17.3	17.5	-0.24
Peja Stojakovic	81	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-9	11	14.8	18.0	-3.23	17.4	16.2	1.16
Hedo Turkoglu	22	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	5	-17	14.7	15.1	-0.45	15.2	18.1	-2.92
Scot Pollard	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-10	13	15.1	14.2	0.93	18.1	12.2	5.94
Bobby Jackson	28	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	8	-23	16.2	14.5	1.75	17.1	17.4	-0.35
Lawrence Funderburke	28	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	8	-23	15.8	14.7	1.12	17.3	17.3	-0.04
Doug Christie	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	15.2	13.9	1.29	17.1	18.3	-1.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	44	43	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-8	23	17.4	17.2	0.24	15.6	14.5	1.05
Corey Maggette	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-2	11	17.0	17.6	-0.64	15.5	14.5	1.00
Darius Miles	41	40	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	17.1	17.5	-0.39	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Keyon Dooling	29	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-4	15	16.8	17.6	-0.82	16.1	14.5	1.57
Lamar Odom	64	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.27	1	6	-5	17.6	16.6	0.98	14.2	17.2	-2.99
Quentin Richardson	17	17	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-2	11	17.1	17.4	-0.31	17.1	14.5	2.52
Jeff McInnis	61	61	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	11	-15	17.6	16.8	0.82	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Eric Piatkowski	56	54	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	11	-15	17.3	17.3	0.03	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Cherokee Parks	49	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	17.5	17.1	0.39	15.2	14.8	0.36
Michael Olowokandi	46	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	15	-23	17.2	17.4	-0.24	14.5	15.6	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	93.5%
PHX 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,1	93.2%
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	93.0%