NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	7.6 [294]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +21.3%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.5 [932]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -27.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	69%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	27	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.08
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	20	34%	-0.17	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.09	-0.04	22	67%	0.33	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	22	62%	0.18	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.3	16.7	26.0	2.5	33.6	131.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +62.6%

PHX -9.4%

NYK +10.7%

PHX -12.3%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.7	107.1	113.4	100.5
season	14.6	15.5		99.6	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.8	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	13.4	15.6	13.5	14.4
NYK	13.7	14.8	16.4	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	1	-7	16.9	14.0	2.90	11.3	15.8	-4.55
Donnell Harvey	7	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	15.1	14.3	0.84	12.4	15.4	-2.96
Casey Jacobsen	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	14.1	15.1	-1.01	15.5	14.4	1.17
Jahidi White	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	14.5	14.3	0.19	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Howard Eisley	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-5	5	13.9	14.8	-0.94	15.3	15.0	0.35
Leandro Barbosa	70	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	1	-7	14.3	14.6	-0.39	15.7	14.0	1.63
Jake Voskuhl	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-4	3	14.3	14.5	-0.19	15.2	15.1	0.15
Shawn Marion	93	92	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.3	16.2	-1.93	15.4	11.6	3.77
Joe Johnson	91	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.6	11.4	3.16	15.1	16.8	-1.77

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	15.1	15.5	-0.46	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Michael Doleac	39	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	14.6	15.6	-0.98	14.4	14.4	0.01
Keith Van Horn	90	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	1	3	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.4	13.8	0.57
Shandon Anderson	84	84	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	8	-11	15.3	14.5	0.82	14.5	13.3	1.26
Moochie Norris	19	20	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-2	9	15.9	15.0	0.96	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Othella Harrington	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-5	15	14.3	15.4	-1.11	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Stephon Marbury	78	78	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.9	-0.96	14.5	13.7	0.84
Dikembe Mutombo	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.59	14.4	14.3	0.07
Kurt Thomas	42	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	11	-17	16.6	14.1	2.46	14.6	14.2	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1	94.2%
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%
GSW 96, VAN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	93.5%