NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	6.9 [452]		MVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): +27.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.9 [1034]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -17.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	24	58%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.09	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	17	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	8	37%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.20	0.07	0.00	15	76%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.06	0.05	22	69%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	18	54%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	27.6	15.4	24.3	2.5	40.4	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +51.1%

POR +0.9%

MIN -16.0%

POR +8.5%

POR +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.5	105.2	111.5	105.7
season	14.3	16.5		102.7	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.2	12.9	14.0	14.6
POR	14.6	12.6	16.5	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	48	50	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-13	21	14.7	14.6	0.12	16.2	14.2	1.96
Darko Milicic	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	26.5	14.4	12.12	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Nikola Pekovic	6	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	12.8	14.7	-1.91	10.7	15.4	-4.66
Wesley Johnson	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.12	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Kevin Love	80	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-12	19	14.7	14.4	0.33	15.3	14.8	0.49
Jonny Flynn	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	2	-9	13.8	15.1	-1.27	14.9	15.4	-0.43
Luke Ridnour	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	15.1	13.8	1.27	15.4	14.9	0.43
Corey Brewer	60	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	14.1	15.5	-1.34	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Martell Webster	62	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.7	-0.09	15.3	15.0	0.35
Michael Beasley	81	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	14.8	13.7	1.13	15.3	14.9	0.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	15.7	11.8	3.90	14.8	13.7	1.14
Rudy Fernandez	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	15.1	15.7	-0.66	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Patty Mills	48	48	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Wesley Matthews	86	86	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	15.3	14.2	1.14	14.4	16.4	-1.96
Dante Cunningham	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	7	-9	15.7	14.7	1.05	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Joel Przybilla	17	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	3	-1	14.4	15.4	-0.98	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Marcus Camby	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	4	-3	13.4	16.1	-2.67	15.7	14.1	1.63
Armon Johnson	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	18.3	15.0	3.32	10.3	14.9	-4.58
Andre Miller	48	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.52	15.1	14.1	1.00
Sean Marks	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	15.4	15.2	0.20	10.9	15.1	-4.20
Nicolas Batum	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	14.5	15.5	-0.93	16.4	13.9	2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,1	94.2%
CLE 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	94.0%
MIA 88, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	94.0%