NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	95		Excitement	7.9 [254]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +14.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.3 [855]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -28.1%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.04	9	81%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.01	14	57%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	14	62%	0.01	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	8	43%	-0.04	5	-0.19	7	86%	0.06
Rod Strickland	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.02	16	32%	-0.20	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	7	68%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.10
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	23	40%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	16	47%	0.06	4	-0.19	6	67%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	7	-0.25	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	42.3	1.8	23.2	15.6	28.2	1.6	40.3	153.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +45.9%

WAS -9.7%

SEA +4.9%

SEA +9.9%

WAS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	102.2	103.2	104.4
season	14.8	14.9		104.3	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.8		100.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	15.8	15.8	14.4	15.4
SEA	14.2	17.0	13.7	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	9	11	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.01	7	-9	16	15.8	15.4	0.37	21.9	14.5	7.42
Harvey Grant	35	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	15.4	15.5	-0.11	17.5	14.2	3.23
Jaren Jackson	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	13.0	15.7	-2.67	20.2	14.9	5.34
Tracy Murray	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-11	20	15.3	15.6	-0.23	16.9	13.9	3.01
Gheorghe Muresan	50	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	9	-20	16.5	14.3	2.20	15.2	15.6	-0.48
Chris Webber	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	15.0	18.4	-3.31	15.1	17.4	-2.27
Juwan Howard	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.4	21.3	-6.90
Calbert Cheaney	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	5	-12	15.4	15.7	-0.29	14.4	18.6	-4.19
Rod Strickland	84	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.45	-9	7	-16	15.4	15.8	-0.37	14.5	21.9	-7.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	86	86	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-4	10	14.8	20.9	-6.03	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Hersey Hawkins	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	14.3	18.0	-3.70	15.5	15.2	0.31
Detlef Schrempf	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-5	12	14.0	19.7	-5.74	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Shawn Kemp	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	14.6	18.8	-4.23	15.5	15.0	0.55
Jim McIlvaine	36	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-10	22	14.2	16.1	-1.80	16.4	14.9	1.53
Sam Perkins	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.3	0.12	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Larry Stewart	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	2	-2	21.9	14.8	7.02	12.1	15.7	-3.57
Eric Snow	8	7	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	20.9	14.8	6.03	15.7	15.4	0.30
Craig Ehlo	17	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	7	-12	16.1	15.2	0.92	16.6	15.2	1.45
David Wingate	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	19.8	13.8	6.05	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Terry Cummings	26	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	13	-24	19.2	13.9	5.24	14.5	15.8	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.77,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.92,1	93.5%
ORL 91, NOH 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.95,1,1	93.1%
CHA 86, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	93.1%