NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	6.4 [534]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +40.7%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.4 [775]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -22.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	10	70%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	6	87%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	7	76%	0.12	7	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	27%	-0.06	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.13	0.02	20	45%	-0.14	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	10	20%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.29	0.12	0.01	20	78%	0.43	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	8	81%	0.30	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	15	34%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	31.9	16.4	23.3	2.6	28.4	129.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.9%

TOR +16.3%

CHA -28.6%

TOR +8.9%

CHA -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.5	101.2	108.1	106.4
season	16.5	15.1		103.0	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		108.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	17.0	19.0	20.4	17.8
TOR	14.3	14.3	17.0	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	18.7	17.5	1.24	16.3	15.8	0.59
Matt Carroll	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-7	7	19.7	17.3	2.43	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Alexis Ajinca	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	17.5	17.9	-0.38	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Ryan Hollins	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	16.6	18.1	-1.46	13.5	16.4	-2.86
Sean May	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	17.1	18.0	-0.85	16.5	15.7	0.85
Emeka Okafor	45	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	17.8	17.8	0.00	16.6	15.1	1.54
Adam Morrison	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	19.0	17.2	1.84	13.8	17.0	-3.17
Gerald Wallace	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	17.6	18.6	-1.06	16.4	13.8	2.66
Raymond Felton	73	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	0	-7	17.0	22.8	-5.86	16.1	15.1	0.92
Jared Dudley	45	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	3	-13	17.9	17.6	0.28	16.2	15.6	0.64
D.J. Augustin	74	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	18.0	16.4	1.65	16.0	14.9	1.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	37	35	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	17.2	14.9	2.37	18.1	17.6	0.49
Chris Bosh	81	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	2	3	16.0	13.6	2.44	18.0	15.2	2.83
Jose Calderon	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	16.6	12.1	4.57	17.9	17.3	0.57
Andrea Bargnani	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	16.2	14.4	1.81	17.6	18.7	-1.05
Anthony Parker	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	5	-3	16.5	13.8	2.73	17.3	19.5	-2.16
Kris Humphries	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	3	1	13.6	17.1	-3.48	18.2	17.6	0.67
Jamario Moon	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	5	-3	15.0	16.5	-1.48	16.3	18.8	-2.56
Jason Kapono	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	6	-5	14.8	16.4	-1.56	20.0	16.8	3.17
Roko Leni Ukic	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	5	-3	12.1	16.6	-4.57	17.3	17.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 77, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1	93.9%
NJN 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	93.1%
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	93.1%