NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	7.1 [381]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +17.6%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.3 [1067]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -14.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.16	-0.04	0.02	28	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzo Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	18	51%	0.07	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	9	68%	0.09	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Adreian Payne	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.05	9	27%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	14	52%	0.15	2	-0.03	12	100%	0.07
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.5	27.6	15.8	28.1	2.5	31.4	136.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +10.9%

TOR +24.2%

MIN -14.1%

TOR +29.6%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.1	104.2	107.1	104.2
season	15.0	15.6		101.2	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	14.9	17.0	14.3	15.1
TOR	12.1	14.5	16.5	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	41	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.8	15.3	-0.46	13.1	15.8	-2.73
Zach LaVine	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.1	15.0	-0.82
Adreian Payne	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.4	14.2	2.22	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Chase Budinger	73	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-8	11	14.5	17.0	-2.56	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Kevin Martin	90	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.0	17.2	-2.21	14.6	15.1	-0.58
Ricky Rubio	57	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	1	-7	15.5	14.5	0.94	15.1	13.7	1.41
Gorgui Dieng	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	4	-13	15.2	14.8	0.36	15.1	13.0	2.12
Andrew Wiggins	61	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	6	-17	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.7	12.7	3.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	15.2	12.4	2.77	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Jonas Valanciunas	45	45	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-10	25	15.4	13.9	1.48	16.0	14.3	1.66
Lou Williams	54	51	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	3	-1	13.4	16.1	-2.74	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Amir Johnson	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	14.5	14.8	-0.28	16.0	13.8	2.19
Patrick Patterson	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	8	-11	14.7	14.5	0.14	13.8	17.4	-3.59
Greivis Vasquez	53	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	9	-13	15.0	14.1	0.91	14.3	16.0	-1.63
Kyle Lowry	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-3	11	14.0	15.3	-1.23	15.3	14.8	0.51
Terrence Ross	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	6	-7	15.1	13.9	1.26	16.2	13.6	2.56
Tyler Hansbrough	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	13.0	15.0	-1.96	13.9	15.4	-1.48
James Johnson	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	14.3	14.6	-0.37	16.1	15.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	94.2%
CLE 89, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%
UTA 81, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%