inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 81 Excitement6.8 [433] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs 85 Comeback1.4 [900] LVPCarlos Arroyo (UTA): -17.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarron Collins0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.140.070.070.002100%0.1400.006100%0.06
Sasha Pavlovic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00275%0.051-0.034100%0.03
Greg Ostertag-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,00.02-0.010.01673%0.062-0.073100%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.010.02-0.020.011159%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Raja Bell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.030.00-0.04-0.001145%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00133%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Raul Lopez-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.030.001238%0.013-0.082100%0.01
Michael Ruffin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.00518%-0.071-0.0310%-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02825%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17-0.06-0.080.031246%-0.102-0.07425%-0.07

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.150.150.020.13-0.011556%0.181-0.03667%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.04-0.001254%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.040.040.000.040.011862%0.143-0.101765%-0.07
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01325%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.04-0.00714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.01537%-0.0600.006100%0.05
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00430%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.01-0.0020%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00822%-0.1100.0020%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.633.216.426.62.541.3145.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +15.8%
UTA -8.3%
SAS +19.4%
SAS +26.0%
UTA -3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game18.115.615.795.398.8100.5
season17.215.999.4100.1
opponent15.815.292.7100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA22.119.617.814.118.1
SAS17.914.014.316.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic1718-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-4418.817.90.9117.015.21.76
Mikki Moore1819-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-3218.817.90.8718.214.93.34
Raul Lopez3738-0.14-0.360.23-0.161-5618.917.51.4116.315.01.27
Raja Bell4545-0.16-0.340.19-0.274-81216.719.7-3.0315.315.9-0.57
Michael Ruffin5051-0.18-0.320.13-0.12-2-2019.715.93.8015.316.0-0.71
Jarron Collins4848-0.23-0.270.04-0.292-6816.620.0-3.3715.116.2-1.09
DeShawn Stevenson4344-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-62-818.717.51.1714.916.4-1.52
Carlos Arroyo4848-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-51-617.518.9-1.4115.016.3-1.27
Andrei Kirilenko6868-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.31-40-417.918.8-0.9115.217.0-1.76
Greg Ostertag5151-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.22-95-1418.517.50.9416.314.71.60

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu64660.70-0.200.900.2615-112615.914.81.1217.918.7-0.76
Tony Parker69680.52-0.020.550.356-2815.715.30.3918.018.4-0.40
Tim Duncan78770.470.030.440.325-1615.714.61.0817.920.0-2.10
Rasho Nesterovic42430.320.180.130.2331218.013.34.6419.616.63.01
Robert Horry38370.240.26-0.010.1631213.517.3-3.7717.418.6-1.27
Bruce Bowen44420.190.31-0.120.25-26-816.015.20.8119.616.63.01
Manu Ginobili47450.170.33-0.160.23-26-814.117.5-3.4016.420.0-3.69
Charlie Ward1717-0.020.52-0.550.03-26-815.315.7-0.3918.418.00.40
Devin Brown1919-0.030.53-0.560.06-37-1015.915.50.4418.118.10.01
Malik Rose1211-0.060.56-0.620.03-37-1015.815.60.2718.418.10.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 91, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,194.6%
CLE 86, MIA 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,194.5%
MIA 82, WAS 890.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,194.3%