NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	6.2 [613]		MVP	Lucious Harris (CLE): +5.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1073]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -25.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	69%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	21	63%	0.13	6	-0.18	12	83%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.06	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jiri Welsch	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	6	43%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	19	50%	-0.07	6	-0.18	6	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	25	52%	0.06	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.06
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	28	41%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	15.4	26.1	1.8	31.2	129.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.1%

PHI +6.3%

PHI +1.9%

PHI +31.1%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	15.5	88.1	96.1	104.0
season	16.2	13.9		104.6	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.3		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	15.7	15.0	12.8	14.5
PHI	12.8	15.6	12.3	14.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	12.3	14.7	-2.43	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Lucious Harris	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-9	9	13.1	14.8	-1.71	14.1	13.8	0.36
Eric Snow	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	16.2	13.7	2.43	15.1	13.3	1.79
Drew Gooden	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-12	15	14.9	14.2	0.65	15.2	12.7	2.44
Ira Newble	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.9	13.0	2.88	13.0	14.8	-1.73
Jiri Welsch	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.1	15.0	-0.90	15.4	12.5	2.91
Robert Traylor	60	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	14.5	14.6	-0.03	12.9	15.3	-2.37
Jeff McInnis	68	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	13.7	16.2	-2.43	13.3	15.1	-1.79
LeBron James	86	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	1	-11	14.2	16.5	-2.26	13.4	16.3	-2.84
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	1	-11	14.5	14.5	0.01	13.8	14.1	-0.28

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	97	96	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-6	21	13.9	12.2	1.72	14.4	16.6	-2.16
Andre Iguodala	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	13.5	14.6	-1.05	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Samuel Dalembert	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-6	21	13.7	14.1	-0.42	15.0	13.5	1.48
Chris Webber	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	14.0	13.3	0.60	14.7	13.7	0.99
Kyle Korver	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	2	5	13.4	16.0	-2.57	15.0	12.4	2.58
Rodney Rogers	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	14.7	13.5	1.26	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Aaron McKie	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	10	-11	13.8	13.9	-0.10	13.5	15.1	-1.53
Marc Jackson	32	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	15	-21	14.1	13.7	0.42	13.5	15.0	-1.48
John Salmons	8	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	15	-21	15.7	13.7	2.08	18.4	14.2	4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.4%
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,1	94.3%
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%