NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	7.3 [356]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +15.4%
New Orleans Hornets	106		Comeback	1.6 [872]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (ORL): -27.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	8	87%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	14	67%	0.17	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.15	-0.04	31	45%	-0.10	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	0.00	13	19%	-0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	9	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	12	71%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Robert Traylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	23%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	0.03	29	42%	-0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.6	15.6	26.8	18.5	31.4	147.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +3.4%

NOH +19.1%

ORL -6.4%

NOH +35.2%

ORL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NOH	NBA	ORL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.7	95.8	111.6	100.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	11.4	22.1	13.4	14.9
NOH	15.4	15.2	15.0	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	17	18	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-22	29	15.7	14.7	0.99	16.2	15.2	0.92
Donnell Harvey	32	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-20	25	15.5	14.6	0.91	16.7	14.7	2.00
Zaza Pachulia	19	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-19	23	16.7	14.4	2.30	17.6	14.9	2.70
Reece Gaines	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.0	15.0	-3.98	18.0	15.4	2.61
Steven Hunter	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-12	9	10.2	15.3	-5.07	18.1	15.2	2.94
Keith Bogans	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-9	3	10.5	15.3	-4.80	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Drew Gooden	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-9	3	14.4	16.1	-1.63	15.9	14.0	1.87
Andrew DeClercq	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.8	15.0	-0.19	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Tracy McGrady	86	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-8	1	14.8	15.6	-0.73	15.6	13.5	2.10
Juwan Howard	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	1	-17	15.6	14.0	1.58	14.5	16.5	-2.03
Tyronn Lue	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	2	-19	14.8	15.2	-0.39	15.0	17.2	-2.15
Gordan Giricek	64	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.00	-22	7	-29	15.2	14.2	1.04	14.6	17.1	-2.54

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	72	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-10	35	15.0	16.7	-1.62	14.9	14.7	0.23
Baron Davis	88	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-5	25	15.6	13.6	2.00	15.0	13.5	1.52
Jamaal Magloire	82	83	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-6	27	15.5	14.7	0.84	15.3	12.2	3.12
P.J. Brown	82	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.7	16.1	-1.36
David Wesley	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	12	-9	14.7	16.0	-1.36	16.7	13.4	3.21
Darrell Armstrong	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	10	-5	15.7	15.0	0.73	13.5	17.0	-3.49
Sean Rooks	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	14	-13	15.3	15.4	-0.10	11.0	15.3	-4.30
Robert Traylor	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	15	-15	5.0	15.5	-10.53	0.0	14.9	-14.89
Bryce Drew	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	18.0	15.4	2.61	11.0	15.0	-3.98
David West	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	21	-27	15.8	15.3	0.47	16.0	14.7	1.31
Stacey Augmon	23	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	25	-35	16.7	15.0	1.62	14.7	14.9	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 108, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	93.9%
LAL 96, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.7%
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.7%