NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	8.2 [207]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (ORL): +29.1%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	1.7 [764]		LVP	Danny Manning (PHX): -25.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22	0.03	0.16	-0.03	8	63%	0.21	1	0.01	3	67%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	13	65%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	12	85%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Loren Meyer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	87%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	24	42%	-0.10	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.04
Danny Manning	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	-0.01	13	36%	-0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	18	73%	0.39	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	9	73%	0.19	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	72%	0.14	6	-0.17	9	67%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	25.2	16.3	26.5	2.4	34.5	133.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.1%

ORL +14.1%

ORL +0.3%

PHX -24.8%

ORL +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	17.1	15.6	115.4	121.7	104.4
season	14.6	16.4		106.8	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	14.2	12.6	16.7	14.3
ORL	17.8	18.5	16.9	15.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayman Tisdale	8	7	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-11	15	12.6	14.5	-1.88	22.1	16.7	5.44
Rumeal Robinson	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-5	3	9.5	14.4	-4.95	1.0	17.5	-16.48
Loren Meyer	38	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-10	13	12.8	15.4	-2.57	18.7	16.0	2.69
Steve Nash	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.6	14.1	0.44	16.8	17.5	-0.68
Hot Rod Williams	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	13.6	14.8	-1.11	17.9	16.7	1.23
Danny Manning	55	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-6	5	14.9	13.4	1.53	17.2	16.9	0.29
Wesley Person	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-8	9	14.2	14.7	-0.46	17.3	16.8	0.48
Mark Bryant	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	2	-11	15.6	12.7	2.97	16.9	17.4	-0.50
Cedric Ceballos	75	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	5	-17	14.2	15.0	-0.80	16.6	19.7	-3.18
Kevin Johnson	83	85	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	4	-15	14.5	12.6	1.88	16.7	22.1	-5.44

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-4	15	16.5	20.9	-4.43	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Anfernee Hardaway	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.29	10	-3	13	17.0	17.6	-0.61	14.1	15.3	-1.23
Brian Shaw	50	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-4	15	15.9	18.5	-2.58	16.0	12.4	3.55
Rony Seikaly	72	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.26	3	4	-1	18.0	13.8	4.24	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Nick Anderson	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	8	-9	17.2	16.9	0.22	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Dan Schayes	26	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	4	-1	17.9	16.8	1.07	16.9	13.4	3.50
Dennis Scott	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	7	-7	18.6	15.5	3.10	13.4	15.4	-1.98
Darrell Armstrong	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	6	-5	1.0	17.7	-16.66	9.5	14.4	-4.95
Gerald Wilkins	34	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	10	-13	17.3	17.0	0.28	14.5	14.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.55,0.71,0.83,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, NOK 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.41,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.67,0.85,1	92.6%
SAS 86, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.78,0.99,0.96,1	92.4%
SAC 104, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%