NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	12.8 [8]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +31.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	89.1 [6]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -37.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.00	23	60%	0.42	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.05
Grant Long	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13	-0.02	0.15	0.00	3	37%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Don Reid	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.07	-0.00	17	41%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	21	47%	0.02	1	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	0.03	11	44%	-0.11	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.11	0.01	14	61%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.06	-0.04	13	75%	0.17	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.16	-0.01	17	46%	-0.17	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.36
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	11	29%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.16	-0.22	-0.01	9	15%	-0.27	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	24.2	15.7	24.5	2.4	36.5	1.7	16.5	1.6	21.3	168.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.2%

DET +48.8%

LAL -47.2%

DET +8.0%

LAL -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	18.8	17.1	15.6	102.0	101.0	104.4
season	17.1	15.3		107.6	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.2		101.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	17.1	19.4	22.3	17.1	21.7	19.1
LAL	16.4	14.9	15.6	18.0	24.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Dumars	73	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-4	11	18.8	18.6	0.28	17.4	16.2	1.18
Grant Hill	88	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-4	11	18.6	20.4	-1.82	17.7	12.0	5.69
Terry Mills	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-6	15	18.7	19.1	-0.42	17.1	17.2	-0.15
Otis Thorpe	75	76	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	8	-13	19.0	18.1	0.89	17.7	14.7	2.96
Don Reid	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	7	-11	19.5	18.5	0.99	17.2	17.1	0.15
Litterial Green	1	1	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.06	0	3	-3	16.0	18.8	-2.79	0.0	17.3	-17.27
Lindsey Hunter	70	67	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	4	-5	18.4	19.7	-1.38	17.0	17.4	-0.46
Grant Long	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	-1	5	19.5	18.5	1.03	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Theo Ratliff	13	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	0	3	18.8	18.8	0.00	17.8	17.0	0.82
Michael Curry	31	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	11	-19	18.4	19.0	-0.60	12.4	19.2	-6.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	37	38	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.23	0	-3	3	16.1	17.7	-1.69	19.3	18.4	0.86
Shaquille O'Neal	79	77	0.13	-0.62	0.76	0.13	0	-3	3	18.4	11.1	7.26	19.2	17.2	1.94
Byron Scott	23	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-11	19	12.5	18.5	-6.07	19.9	18.4	1.52
Sean Rooks	12	13	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	10.8	18.0	-7.15	16.7	19.1	-2.39
Kobe Bryant	53	58	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.01	-1	-2	1	16.6	17.7	-1.18	18.3	19.4	-1.11
Jerome Kersey	25	26	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-7	11	16.1	17.4	-1.32	20.4	18.2	2.20
Robert Horry	53	54	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	4	-11	17.0	17.2	-0.21	17.6	20.2	-2.65
Nick Van Exel	67	67	-0.67	0.18	-0.85	-0.44	-8	5	-13	19.0	12.8	6.16	18.4	19.6	-1.24
Elden Campbell	61	62	-0.75	0.26	-1.01	-0.57	-6	3	-9	17.4	16.5	0.91	19.4	17.7	1.60
Eddie Jones	70	69	-0.84	0.35	-1.19	-0.61	-8	5	-13	17.5	15.9	1.61	18.5	19.3	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.96,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, CHH 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,1	88.4%
LAL 94, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,1	88.4%
SAS 96, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	88.3%