NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	10.7 [42]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +21.9%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	2.7 [446]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -46.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	12	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	23	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.07
Michael Cage	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	12	27%	-0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.09
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.11,-0.31,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	12	44%	-0.16	5	-0.15	8	37%	-0.22
Allen Iverson	-0.47	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.47	-0.08	-0.37	0.01	13	47%	-0.37	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,0.22	0.22	-0.04	0.25	-0.01	21	49%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.06	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.18	-0.08	0.04	14	78%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	1	30%	-0.11	4	-0.12	8	37%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	28.7	15.5	24.4	2.4	38.3	137.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.7%

SAC +37.9%

PHI -40.0%

SAC +3.6%

SAC +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.6	108.2	112.6	104.4
season	14.7	15.4		101.4	102.4
opponent	15.4	14.7		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	12.9	16.8	17.8	15.0
SAC	14.0	11.9	15.9	19.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	43	43	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-9	17	16.7	13.7	3.07	15.3	14.5	0.76
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	76	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	1	-3	15.1	14.7	0.33	15.6	11.9	3.68
Lucious Harris	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-1	1	13.9	15.1	-1.23	9.8	15.2	-5.35
Scott Williams	33	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	12.2	16.4	-4.25	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Allen Iverson	75	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-6	11	14.2	17.7	-3.47	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Derrick Coleman	82	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-4	7	14.5	17.4	-2.84	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Mark Davis	12	12	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	4	-9	15.0	15.0	-0.00	12.2	15.2	-2.97
Rex Walters	25	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	6	-13	16.4	14.5	1.88	16.3	14.4	1.93
Jerry Stackhouse	89	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-1	1	15.4	11.2	4.16	15.3	9.1	6.15
Michael Cage	45	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	2	-5	16.2	14.0	2.14	14.9	14.8	0.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	78	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	-2	5	15.5	11.6	3.89	15.9	11.1	4.83
Olden Polynice	62	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.52	0	1	-1	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.2	14.6	0.64
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	50	54	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	-1	3	17.0	12.5	4.47	15.7	14.1	1.61
Kevin Gamble	28	30	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	-1	3	11.6	16.2	-4.59	12.6	16.0	-3.41
Billy Owens	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	4	-7	15.1	14.0	1.16	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Michael Smith	78	81	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-6	13	15.2	13.2	2.03	15.1	14.6	0.50
Tyus Edney	34	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	0	1	13.0	15.9	-2.82	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Bobby Hurley	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	3	-5	10.8	15.4	-4.55	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Corliss Williamson	61	61	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	6	-11	14.0	16.4	-2.40	14.8	15.3	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.39,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	92.2%
PHI 97, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.39,0.55,0.72,1	92.0%
MIL 99, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	91.8%