NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	8.2 [216]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +41.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	1.9 [624]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -41.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33	0.10	0.23	-0.00	14	68%	0.43	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	11	61%	0.17	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.09
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	13	46%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.41,-0.41	-0.10	-0.29	0.03	17	38%	-0.29	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.41	0.41	0.05	0.36	-0.00	8	61%	0.41	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	12	56%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.20	-0.07	0.07	17	77%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	16	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.3	15.5	24.5	2.5	34.4	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.7%

CHA +2.5%

PHI -7.6%

CHA +6.8%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.5	107.8	112.4	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		104.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	16.3	13.2	16.8	15.7
CHA	16.0	15.6	17.5	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	42	42	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.15	0	-3	3	15.5	15.9	-0.49	17.3	15.7	1.54
Spencer Hawes	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	1	-5	15.0	16.2	-1.19	16.8	16.3	0.51
Jason Kapono	1	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	6.0	15.8	-9.82	2.0	16.6	-14.64
Marreese Speights	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-7	11	15.0	16.1	-1.04	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Andre Iguodala	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.34	7	-10	17	15.5	16.6	-1.14	17.1	14.0	3.14
Jrue Holiday	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-3	3	14.7	17.9	-3.22	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Thaddeus Young	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	16.7	14.3	2.37	16.3	16.7	-0.37
Evan Turner	49	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	5	-13	15.7	15.8	-0.08	16.3	16.7	-0.35
Lou Williams	42	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	17.7	14.0	3.71	15.2	17.5	-2.30
Elton Brand	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	5	-13	15.9	15.1	0.86	16.4	16.7	-0.30

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	69	71	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-12	27	15.8	18.9	-3.13	15.4	16.9	-1.57
D.J. Augustin	69	71	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-12	27	15.8	18.9	-3.13	15.4	16.9	-1.57
Boris Diaw	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-7	17	15.4	20.6	-5.19	15.2	17.7	-2.57
Gerald Henderson	32	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	3	-3	15.8	16.8	-0.98	17.2	14.9	2.32
Stephen Jackson	79	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	3	-3	16.8	14.0	2.78	15.4	17.8	-2.45
Nazr Mohammed	37	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-3	9	16.8	16.2	0.63	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Eduardo Najera	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	22.7	16.3	6.41	18.7	15.6	3.06
Dominic McGuire	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	9	-15	19.4	15.9	3.51	17.8	15.3	2.46
Kwame Brown	41	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	6	-9	17.0	16.0	1.07	15.9	15.5	0.42
Matt Carroll	10	10	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	12	-21	18.6	16.2	2.40	15.8	15.7	0.10
Shaun Livingston	20	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	15	-27	18.9	15.8	3.13	16.9	15.4	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.39,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	92.1%
PHI 106, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.39,0.67,0.73,1	92.0%
SAS 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.73,1	91.7%