NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	8.4 [210]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +28.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	1.5 [1071]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -44.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.24	0.06	0.03	17	76%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
PJ Tucker	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	14	79%	0.27	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.24	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.08
Mirza Teletovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.43,-0.43,-0.45	-0.18	-0.27	-0.01	20	35%	-0.27	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.16,0.25	0.25	0.23	0.05	0.02	19	73%	0.33	2	-0.08	11	100%	0.10
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	21	49%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	26.4	15.6	25.8	1.8	33.4	129.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +20.3%

PHX -1.0%

PHX -1.5%

OKC +30.8%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	14.9	115.2	120.9	105.1
season	14.4	14.4		100.9	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.4		104.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	19.8	14.6	17.7	15.3	16.7
OKC	14.5	14.8	15.8	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Cotton	9	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-10	16	17.1	16.7	0.46	17.6	14.5	3.09
Mirza Teletovic	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	1	-6	18.1	15.4	2.72	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Alex Len	31	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	1	-6	18.7	15.7	2.99	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Tyson Chandler	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-3	2	15.6	18.8	-3.25	15.0	14.2	0.82
PJ Tucker	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-8	12	16.2	20.5	-4.27	14.9	13.6	1.37
Devin Booker	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	17.0	15.6	1.40	15.2	13.2	1.97
TJ Warren	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	16.2	19.7	-3.51	14.6	16.3	-1.71
Brandon Knight	83	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	6	-16	16.7	17.1	-0.46	14.5	17.6	-3.09

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	56	57	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.30	18	-14	32	14.4	15.4	-0.98	16.8	16.5	0.38
Kevin Durant	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-6	16	14.8	14.6	0.22	16.5	17.4	-0.81
Russell Westbrook	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-7	18	14.7	15.1	-0.43	16.4	17.4	-1.01
Dion Waiters	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	4	-4	14.5	15.2	-0.71	17.4	15.8	1.56
Andre Roberson	47	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	-8	20	14.7	14.8	-0.09	17.0	16.4	0.55
Kyle Singler	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	7	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.27	15.0	17.4	-2.36
Steven Adams	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	4	-4	14.5	15.0	-0.52	16.3	17.1	-0.84
Cameron Payne	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	11	-18	15.1	14.7	0.43	17.4	16.4	1.01
Anthony Morrow	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	11	-18	15.3	14.6	0.69	16.7	16.7	0.05
Enes Kanter	26	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	10	-16	15.8	14.3	1.51	16.9	16.6	0.28
Nick Collison	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	15.8	14.6	1.26	17.6	16.5	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.76,0.36,0.69,0.72,1	93.3%
PHI 97, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.39,0.55,0.72,1	92.1%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.3%