NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	9.2 [133]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +33.7%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	3.7 [258]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -32.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Andrew Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	23	42%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Troy Daniels	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	12	37%	-0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.16,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.07	-0.09	0.04	18	39%	-0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.13

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.34	0.34	0.10	0.27	0.03	13	70%	0.39	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.15
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	-0.00	3	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Langston Galloway	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.14	0.00	7	64%	-0.01	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	10	30%	-0.11	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	32.2	15.5	23.3	2.4	39.5	144.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +96.7%

SAC +9.9%

MEM -40.2%

MEM -24.0%

SAC +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	19.1	15.2	14.8	107.1	108.3	107.7
season	16.1	15.4		106.4	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.8	18.2	23.3	15.8	19.1
SAC	13.8	15.2	14.6	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	33	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-1	1	20.6	18.2	2.43	15.9	14.7	1.17
Brandan Wright	36	38	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-6	11	18.8	19.4	-0.62	15.6	14.8	0.77
James Ennis III	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-3	5	18.5	19.8	-1.26	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Tony Allen	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	9	-19	21.3	17.8	3.52	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Andrew Harrison	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-6	11	18.3	20.2	-1.92	16.0	14.1	1.87
Mike Conley	68	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.37	1	-2	3	19.7	16.8	2.86	15.5	13.3	2.19
Vince Carter	47	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	3	-7	19.4	18.7	0.72	16.3	13.7	2.55
Troy Daniels	58	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.62	2	-3	5	17.5	22.7	-5.21	14.0	17.3	-3.34
Zach Randolph	58	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	5	-11	19.2	19.0	0.13	14.2	17.0	-2.77

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	43	41	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	-1	3	15.8	14.5	1.30	18.8	19.5	-0.73
Willie Cauley-Stein	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-4	9	14.4	16.8	-2.34	19.5	18.4	1.01
Darren Collison	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	15.3	14.7	0.60	18.7	20.5	-1.80
Garrett Temple	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-2	5	14.2	17.8	-3.61	18.9	19.8	-0.93
Buddy Hield	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	-3	7	14.5	16.8	-2.29	19.0	19.5	-0.46
Ty Lawson	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	2	-3	16.2	14.5	1.64	18.8	19.4	-0.57
Ben McLemore	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	2	-3	17.1	14.2	2.94	19.7	18.9	0.81
Kosta Koufos	51	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	-1	3	15.1	15.2	-0.04	19.8	18.0	1.88
Langston Galloway	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.1	0.45	23.6	18.7	4.84
Skal Labissiere	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	8	-15	16.1	14.9	1.20	17.7	19.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.76,0.36,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	93.3%
POR 81, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.72,1	92.6%
WAS 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	91.8%