NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	7.6 [306]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +23.5%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	2.0 [430]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -11.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.01	9	80%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.07,0,0,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.09	3	-0.10	7	86%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	48%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	19	57%	0.26	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	59%	0.20	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	20	41%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.0	27.8	15.5	26.3	2.4	43.6	143.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -4.1%

SAC +5.7%

SAC +36.4%

SAC +9.9%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.1	95.8	100.0	104.2
season	15.4	14.9		106.9	103.7
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.5	15.3	15.4	13.8	15.5
SAC	14.5	14.7	15.3	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-4	5	18.0	15.3	2.69	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Matt Bonner	20	19	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	16.9	15.1	1.90	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Danny Green	65	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-5	7	15.6	15.2	0.32	15.2	14.5	0.74
Boris Diaw	46	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-14	25	15.6	15.3	0.22	15.6	14.4	1.20
Cory Joseph	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.0	1.63	14.2	15.4	-1.16
Manu Ginobili	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	15.0	16.0	-0.98	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Aron Baynes	37	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	8	-19	15.8	15.2	0.54	13.5	15.9	-2.36
Tony Parker	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	1	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.90	15.1	14.8	0.26
Tim Duncan	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	2	-7	14.8	17.0	-2.16	15.6	13.6	1.95
Kawhi Leonard	79	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.33	-11	8	-19	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.2	14.1	1.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-8	19	15.4	13.5	1.93	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Darren Collison	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-5	13	14.6	16.6	-1.97	15.9	13.7	2.13
Ben McLemore	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-5	13	14.6	16.6	-1.97	15.9	13.7	2.13
Carl Landry	38	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-8	19	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.7	15.3	0.47
Jason Thompson	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-7	17	14.7	15.7	-0.96	16.3	13.7	2.66
Omri Casspi	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.46	-9	12	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.68	15.2	15.7	-0.50
DeMarcus Cousins	52	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	9	-15	16.1	13.7	2.32	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Ramon Sessions	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	8	-13	16.6	14.6	1.97	13.7	15.9	-2.13
Nik Stauskas	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	8	-13	16.1	14.7	1.36	13.0	16.1	-3.07
Derrick Williams	10	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	11	-19	14.3	15.1	-0.81	17.6	15.2	2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	92.5%
HOU 100, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.91,1	91.9%
PHI 97, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.39,0.55,0.72,1	91.7%