NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	8.9 [147]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +42.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	2.0 [215]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIL): -11.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.18,0.42	0.13	0.29	-0.00	25	64%	0.53	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3	0.18	0.12	-0.00	17	75%	0.40	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.10
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.31	0.31	0.01	0.29	-0.01	23	53%	0.40	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.14	0.00	9	95%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	9	58%	0.20	1	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	9	55%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	11	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	26.4	15.4	28.8	2.0	36.0	136.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.0%

MIL +6.8%

MIL +29.7%

NYK -2.8%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.1	106.5	112.2	105.2
season	16.0	15.7		106.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	17.6	19.0	15.2	16.3
MIL	15.0	15.9	14.3	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Tyler	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	19.5	16.0	3.51	16.4	15.3	1.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.	53	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-10	17	15.2	17.7	-2.52	16.1	14.2	1.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	0	-3	17.2	15.8	1.42	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Raymond Felton	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-6	9	15.9	17.3	-1.37	16.2	13.0	3.25
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-6	9	15.8	17.9	-2.06	15.5	14.9	0.51
J.R. Smith	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-9	15	16.0	17.6	-1.64	15.5	14.8	0.71
Pablo Prigioni	43	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	11	-25	17.6	15.1	2.51	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Tyson Chandler	67	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	16.0	17.0	-1.03	15.5	15.0	0.41
Iman Shumpert	48	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.14	-16	13	-29	17.3	15.2	2.04	14.5	16.2	-1.62

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	46	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-7	17	15.6	15.1	0.54	17.1	15.5	1.62
Brandon Knight	87	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	15.5	12.0	3.46	16.4	14.5	1.88
Ersan Ilyasova	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-5	13	15.8	14.3	1.44	16.7	15.5	1.13
Luke Ridnour	37	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-6	15	14.4	16.0	-1.55	16.4	16.2	0.28
Zaza Pachulia	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	11	-19	15.9	15.0	0.91	13.6	18.1	-4.42
Larry Sanders	52	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	-8	19	15.0	15.9	-0.91	18.1	13.6	4.42
Caron Butler	28	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	6	-9	14.3	15.8	-1.54	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	12	-21	15.6	15.0	0.53	15.3	17.7	-2.40
Nate Wolters	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	15.4	15.3	0.11	16.0	16.5	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.73,1	92.5%
MIL 93, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.42,1	91.4%
SAC 79, SAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	91.0%