inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 100 Excitement7.8 [289] MVPTyreke Evans (NOP): +26.0%
New Orleans Pelicans 105 Comeback1.8 [739] LVPIsaiah Canaan (HOU): -17.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Daniels0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.260.130.12-0.011669%0.271-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.20.080.11-0.001070%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Terrence Jones0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.03-0.001161%0.121-0.01650%-0.03
Omri Casspi0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.010.06-0.001045%0.0700.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.01682%0.154-0.11580%0.01
Donatas Motiejunas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.030.00950%0.083-0.094100%0.02
Robert Covington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Powell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00633%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.01541%-0.013-0.08771%0.00
Isaiah Canaan-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.100.00614%-0.1700.0020%-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.260.260.050.19-0.012057%0.312-0.05450%-0.01
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.070.00769%0.161-0.04250%-0.01
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.10.100.010.09-0.00560%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.080.080.030.070.021448%0.0800.00367%-0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01764%0.0400.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00075%0.0300.00475%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.040.011167%0.193-0.17580%0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.05-0.011036%0.041-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.426.616.322.31.826.3123.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +41.0%
HOU -1.4%
NOP +12.3%
HOU -1.4%
HOU -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOPNBAHOUNOPNBA
this game15.516.315.1112.4114.1105.2
season14.315.5109.5105.6
opponent15.315.2108.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.416.316.714.815.5
NOP17.614.316.816.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Jones47500.02-0.520.54-0.104-91315.415.7-0.2917.015.41.64
Patrick Beverley40410.02-0.520.53-0.073-81115.515.6-0.1217.615.22.41
Robert Covington88-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-2-114.615.6-1.0016.016.3-0.30
Dwight Howard4748-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-6715.615.50.1216.915.51.39
Omri Casspi5354-0.13-0.370.25-0.306-111715.116.2-1.1917.314.82.48
Donatas Motiejunas3233-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-127-1916.615.01.6014.317.4-3.12
Troy Daniels8184-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.39-2-3115.614.61.0016.316.00.30
Josh Powell3738-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.25-72-915.415.7-0.2816.016.5-0.51
Jordan Hamilton5153-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.28-72-915.615.50.1115.417.5-2.11
Isaiah Canaan4951-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-83-1115.615.50.1215.217.6-2.41

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Withey39370.65-0.150.800.3510-51516.616.00.6415.215.7-0.51
Austin Rivers83810.54-0.040.590.347-2916.316.3-0.0715.714.01.69
Anthony Morrow53510.490.010.480.287-2915.417.5-2.1115.615.50.11
Tyreke Evans66640.390.110.280.2741316.316.30.0015.914.71.20
Darius Miller63620.360.140.230.2541316.416.00.4016.313.72.58
Al-Farouq Aminu36340.230.27-0.03-0.008-31115.017.1-2.1315.615.50.08
Luke Babbitt35330.080.42-0.350.11-16-716.316.30.0214.416.2-1.82
Alexis Ajinca45440.020.48-0.460.05-16-716.915.61.3014.716.4-1.74
Brian Roberts98-0.040.54-0.590.02-27-916.316.30.0714.015.7-1.69
Melvin Ely3131-0.220.72-0.940.10-1116-2717.615.62.0216.015.30.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 96, LAC 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.99,192.0%
BOS 79, MIL 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.98,191.9%
SAS 91, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.73,191.9%