NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	3.8 [1026]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): +13.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.0 [629]		LVP	George Lynch (VAN): -10.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	15	72%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Elliott	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	18	55%	0.07	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	19	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.00	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	22.5	17.4	25.6	2.5	36.5	129.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.1%

SAS +1.0%

VAN -6.9%

SAS +9.3%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.6	109.2	97.8	104.4
season	16.8	16.3		100.8	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.1	19.6	17.8	17.5	17.2
VAN	16.5	13.4	16.5	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	77	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	16.5	22.5	-6.02	16.0	10.5	5.51
Sean Elliott	68	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-1	9	16.8	18.4	-1.53	15.9	13.6	2.31
Will Perdue	72	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	16.3	21.2	-4.87	14.8	18.8	-4.01
Vernon Maxwell	74	75	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	7	-7	16.9	18.7	-1.79	15.9	12.8	3.12
Monty Williams	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	18.3	15.7	2.56	14.0	17.3	-3.28
Stephen Howard	6	7	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	-1	9	18.3	17.1	1.25	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Dominique Wilkins	29	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	5	-3	18.9	16.3	2.64	13.4	16.5	-3.12
Greg Anderson	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	3	1	21.2	16.3	4.87	18.8	14.8	4.01
Carl Herrera	34	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	15.1	18.5	-3.37	17.4	14.1	3.32
Cory Alexander	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	12	-17	22.5	16.5	6.02	10.5	16.0	-5.51

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-10	13	13.8	16.2	-2.42	19.6	16.1	3.46
Lawrence Moten	16	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.79	15.1	17.6	-2.54
Blue Edwards	48	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-9	11	13.9	17.2	-3.31	18.0	16.2	1.76
Roy Rogers	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.0	2.19	20.8	16.3	4.46
George Lynch	67	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	15.1	16.3	-1.16	17.4	16.5	0.88
Bryant Reeves	73	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-4	1	15.0	17.2	-2.19	16.3	20.8	-4.46
Anthony Peeler	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.4	-1.24	17.3	16.8	0.43
Lee Mayberry	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	3	-13	16.6	12.6	4.01	16.5	18.7	-2.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	6	-19	16.8	11.6	5.21	16.3	19.5	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 117, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DET 98, CHA 81	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%