NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	9.0 [120]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +27.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	4.2 [171]		LVP	Gary Trent (POR): -28.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27	0.04	0.25	0.02	20	53%	0.27	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.08
Isaiah Rider	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.08
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	16	49%	0.00	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Randolph Childress	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.29	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.20	-0.11	-0.02	10	29%	-0.16	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	14	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	16	66%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	11	52%	0.00	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	45%	-0.04	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.20	-0.03	7	29%	-0.26	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	41.2	1.7	25.3	16.7	24.4	1.6	41.3	152.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -19.9%

POR +60.8%

POR +12.6%

POR +3.2%

LAC -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.6	106.2	103.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.8		105.2	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	13.7	13.3	14.2	14.1
LAC	17.0	15.7	16.0	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	40	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	13.9	14.2	-0.24	17.0	15.4	1.69
Jermaine O'Neal	37	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	-6	16	15.3	13.3	2.01	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Isaiah Rider	66	68	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	14.2	13.8	0.33	17.0	13.8	3.25
Kenny Anderson	79	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	13.6	16.2	-2.57	15.6	17.9	-2.30
Aaron McKie	39	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-1	6	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.3	17.2	-2.85
Clifford Robinson	81	81	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	5	-6	14.0	14.4	-0.40	15.9	17.6	-1.72
Arvydas Sabonis	58	57	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	6	-8	14.2	13.9	0.23	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Gary Trent	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.20	-5	9	-14	14.6	13.6	0.93	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Mitchell Butler	26	25	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.05	3	1	2	12.5	14.7	-2.20	17.9	15.5	2.41
Randolph Childress	10	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	15.1	13.9	1.16	18.2	15.8	2.35

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	40	40	0.11	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-11	18	16.5	15.8	0.72	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Malik Sealy	49	50	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-6	8	16.0	16.3	-0.30	13.7	14.5	-0.76
Bo Outlaw	36	37	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	15.7	16.4	-0.66	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Rodney Rogers	64	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	15.9	16.5	-0.51	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Lorenzen Wright	84	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-4	4	16.6	12.6	3.92	14.1	14.0	0.07
Eric Piatkowski	27	28	-0.24	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	1	-6	16.0	16.1	-0.15	13.2	14.4	-1.20
Lamond Murray	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-3	2	16.9	15.7	1.16	14.6	13.8	0.83
Terry Dehere	49	51	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	2	-8	15.3	16.9	-1.61	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Brent Barry	28	28	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.40	14.6	13.8	0.77
Loy Vaught	68	67	-0.50	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	16.1	16.0	0.15	14.9	12.1	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 72, PHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.32,0.42,0	92.3%
LAL 93, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	91.5%
POR 95, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.58,0	91.2%