NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	10.2 [58]		MVP	Maurice Harkless (POR): +51.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	4.1 [241]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -48.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.52	0.09	0.44	0.01	16	63%	0.59	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.06	0.03	-0.04	18	55%	0.13	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	69%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.48	-0.13	-0.35	-0.00	23	35%	-0.40	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	64%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.07
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	60%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	12	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.04	0.00	13	38%	0.13	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	19	42%	-0.02	3	-0.14	5	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	23.5	14.7	25.1	1.6	36.5	126.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -5.6%

POR +9.0%

POR +4.5%

POR +36.8%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	13.0	14.7	95.0	93.9	107.5
season	15.2	13.7		107.8	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		107.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	16.4	15.7	16.6	16.0
LAL	12.1	13.6	13.1	13.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	51	51	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-5	13	16.7	15.3	1.32	13.0	13.0	-0.00
Ed Davis	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	16.0	16.0	-0.01	13.0	13.1	-0.18
Shabazz Napier	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-4	11	16.2	15.5	0.72	13.4	12.2	1.11
Zach Collins	61	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	16.8	14.8	2.05	12.8	13.5	-0.76
Pat Connaughton	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-7	17	15.0	17.2	-2.26	12.8	13.3	-0.47
CJ McCollum	75	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	6	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.83	12.7	14.1	-1.45
Jusuf Nurkic	38	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	9	-15	15.2	16.5	-1.31	13.5	12.8	0.77
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.1	-0.16	13.2	12.9	0.25
Evan Turner	44	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	16.2	15.8	0.41	13.4	12.8	0.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	30	33	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	14.1	12.6	1.57	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Larry Nance Jr.	19	20	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-7	11	13.4	13.0	0.41	17.3	15.7	1.66
Tyler Ennis	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	0	-3	14.0	13.0	1.03	12.8	16.2	-3.39
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	66	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.28	7	-10	17	13.0	13.2	-0.26	16.3	15.4	0.87
Lonzo Ball	76	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-11	19	12.5	14.8	-2.23	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Josh Hart	69	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-11	19	13.3	12.3	1.04	16.3	15.4	0.92
Kyle Kuzma	73	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-9	15	12.7	14.0	-1.34	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Thomas Bryant	7	7	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	2	-7	14.7	12.9	1.80	20.3	15.7	4.59
Corey Brewer	25	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	6	-15	14.0	12.7	1.34	17.5	15.6	1.95
Alex Caruso	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	8	-19	12.8	13.1	-0.27	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Jordan Clarkson	44	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	10	-23	13.2	12.9	0.38	15.5	16.4	-0.97
Julius Randle	49	47	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	9	-21	12.2	13.8	-1.59	15.7	16.3	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	91.7%
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	91.2%
OKC 124, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	90.8%