NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	7.1 [404]		MVP	Ron Harper (LAL): +20.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	5.7 [129]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -36.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.00	0.19	-0.01	9	60%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	18	66%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	17	57%	0.10	3	-0.07	12	50%	-0.06
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	5	67%	0.07	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.04
Robert Horry	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.37	-0.15	-0.24	-0.02	8	20%	-0.15	2	-0.22	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	86%	0.23	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	79%	0.17	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.16	0.01	6	69%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.04,0.02,0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	43%	0.11	3	-0.24	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	35.2	19.4	30.5	3.6	44.3	159.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.4%

LAL +5.1%

LAL +9.3%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	18.4	15.2	108.1	108.3	101.7
season	15.3	15.9		105.6	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.1	11.8	16.6	16.9	15.5
POR	17.1	19.0	18.6	19.1	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	86	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.5	0.0	15.49	18.4	0.0	18.43
Kobe Bryant	86	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.5	0.0	15.49	18.5	15.0	3.47
Glen Rice	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	0	2	16.0	14.6	1.38	17.0	20.7	-3.75
Robert Horry	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	3	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.73	18.3	18.5	-0.18
Ron Harper	55	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	2	-2	15.8	14.9	0.91	17.3	20.4	-3.05
Rick Fox	27	28	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	-3	8	15.6	15.4	0.21	20.7	17.3	3.43
Derek Fisher	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	2	-2	14.4	16.1	-1.67	19.9	17.5	2.39
A.C. Green	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	1	0	16.8	14.4	2.43	18.4	18.5	-0.14
John Salley	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	1.0	15.7	-14.66	25.0	18.3	6.65
Brian Shaw	6	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	12.7	15.7	-3.03	23.2	18.2	5.06

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-3	4	19.7	18.1	1.62	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Detlef Schrempf	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	17.4	18.9	-1.46	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Arvydas Sabonis	59	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-9	16	17.5	20.7	-3.21	16.8	12.2	4.55
Jermaine O'Neal	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	18.9	18.4	0.47	6.3	16.3	-10.02
Damon Stoudamire	67	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.34	5	-7	12	18.2	19.3	-1.09	15.8	14.1	1.71
Greg Anthony	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	2	-6	19.4	18.2	1.18	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Scottie Pippen	64	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-6	10	17.4	21.7	-4.36	15.8	14.5	1.22
Stacey Augmon	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	7	-16	21.5	17.4	4.10	14.0	16.0	-1.94
Brian Grant	17	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	4	-10	21.8	17.6	4.18	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Rasheed Wallace	60	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	18.8	17.5	1.30	15.7	15.0	0.74
Steven Smith	65	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	1	-4	18.1	19.7	-1.62	15.7	14.7	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.37,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	91.5%
NJN 102, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.31,0.27,0	91.3%
LAC 128, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	90.7%