NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	82		Excitement	8.9 [138]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +32.3%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	2.7 [496]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -35.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	-0.00	17	71%	0.24	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,0,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.08,-0.01,0.08,0	0.02	-0.03	0.00	13	69%	0.30	4	-0.30	3	67%	-0.03
Dell Curry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	10	50%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.04
Vlade Divac	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Smith	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	5	20%	-0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.02	9	60%	0.33	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	8	74%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02	0.02	-0.11	0.12	-0.00	16	31%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	26	45%	-0.07	1	-0.05	12	75%	-0.04
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.21	-0.15	-0.01	8	15%	-0.24	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	26.0	15.6	0.0	2.7	36.2	103.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -5.0%

CHH -6.3%

CHI +9.1%

CHI +54.2%

CHH -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.6	90.1	94.6	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		108.0	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.4	15.4	15.3	18.8	15.9
CHI	14.4	16.3	16.3	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	63	64	0.05	-0.56	0.61	0.02	1	-6	7	15.3	17.3	-2.07	16.1	14.5	1.56
Anthony Goldwire	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-7	9	17.1	15.4	1.68	16.2	15.4	0.84
Tony Delk	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	7.0	16.1	-9.09	12.0	15.7	-3.67
Scott Burrell	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	13.0	16.4	-3.42	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Dell Curry	84	86	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.4	10.0	6.38	15.3	20.3	-5.08
Glen Rice	83	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	16.0	15.0	0.98	15.9	11.6	4.35
Tony Smith	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	15.4	17.1	-1.68	15.4	16.2	-0.84
Anthony Mason	91	92	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.9	0.0	15.89	15.6	0.0	15.59
Matt Geiger	27	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	1	-7	17.7	15.1	2.63	15.4	15.7	-0.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	80	80	0.72	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-9	23	15.0	19.5	-4.50	16.3	12.7	3.60
Toni Kukoc	44	45	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-3	11	14.3	16.7	-2.39	17.0	14.8	2.20
Steve Kerr	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	1	3	14.9	16.6	-1.68	17.0	14.1	2.93
Michael Jordan	78	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.36	5	0	5	15.9	13.9	1.96	16.1	14.9	1.15
Scottie Pippen	80	80	0.44	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	15.4	17.0	-1.62	15.6	18.3	-2.71
Randy Brown	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	17.6	15.3	2.30	18.7	15.5	3.29
Jud Buechler	7	8	0.05	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	11.6	15.9	-4.35	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Robert Parish	26	24	-0.02	0.53	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	14.7	15.9	-1.19	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Ron Harper	38	38	-0.07	0.58	-0.65	-0.10	1	4	-3	16.3	15.1	1.24	13.7	17.5	-3.79
Jason Caffey	12	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	14	-23	19.5	15.0	4.50	12.7	16.3	-3.60
Bill Wennington	26	25	-0.22	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	12	-19	18.8	14.3	4.49	14.2	16.5	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.26,0.28,0.35,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.52,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	91.7%
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	91.6%
MEM 94, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	91.5%