NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	9.0 [137]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +29.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	3.4 [624]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -16.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	10	57%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	12	67%	0.19	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.18	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.13
Johnny O'Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.09	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	20%	-0.04	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Brandon Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,0.06,-0.16	-0.09	-0.12	-0.05	10	40%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.18	-0.01	16	61%	0.34	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.17
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	15	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	17	62%	0.21	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	27.3	16.4	26.4	2.4	32.4	134.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -33.9%

LAC +45.4%

LAC +2.6%

LAC +35.6%

LAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.1	105.2	109.3	104.2
season	14.5	14.6		100.5	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.6	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	14.4	14.9	17.3	15.5
LAC	12.8	14.4	14.5	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	62	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-15	26	15.4	15.7	-0.31	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Larry Sanders	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-5	6	14.2	16.9	-2.70	14.9	13.4	1.54
Kendall Marshall	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-6	8	15.4	15.6	-0.20	14.9	13.8	1.04
Johnny O'Bryant	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	3	-10	16.0	15.4	0.59	16.5	13.9	2.60
O.J. Mayo	48	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	0	-4	14.7	16.2	-1.50	13.3	15.2	-1.87
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	16.4	14.8	1.62	13.4	14.8	-1.46
Brandon Knight	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	1	-6	15.2	15.8	-0.57	14.3	14.0	0.32
Jerryd Bayless	55	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	16.5	14.2	2.28	14.5	13.9	0.59
Khris Middleton	48	47	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.4	0.07	14.9	13.6	1.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	8	-20	15.8	14.3	1.51	13.9	15.4	-1.56

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-4	12	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Chris Paul	75	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	13.9	15.2	-1.26	15.7	15.0	0.70
Blake Griffin	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	0	4	14.9	12.6	2.26	15.7	15.1	0.59
DeAndre Jordan	69	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	14.6	13.2	1.44	15.6	15.2	0.36
Jamal Crawford	57	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	2	0	14.2	14.2	-0.07	16.5	13.9	2.61
Matt Barnes	54	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	2	0	13.8	14.7	-0.84	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Reggie Bullock	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	14.9	13.9	0.98	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Jordan Farmar	22	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	15.2	13.9	1.26	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Glen Davis	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.6	-1.44	15.7	15.4	0.24
Hedo Turkoglu	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	6	-8	11.6	14.7	-3.08	15.5	15.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.26,0.28,0.35,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.52,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.67,0.58,1	92.5%
CHH 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.57,0.74,1	91.7%
LAL 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.6%