NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	7.9 [248]		MVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): +14.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.4 [607]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -24.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	24	57%	0.12	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Craig Ehlo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Larry Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	4	8%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Shawn Kemp	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.10	-0.01	21	40%	-0.12	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.05	0	0.00	12	75%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	21	68%	0.27	7	-0.24	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Wolf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	14	42%	-0.06	4	-0.12	10	80%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.5	15.7	24.0	1.6	43.5	139.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.4%

MIL +24.6%

SEA -10.0%

SEA -4.0%

SEA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.6	103.2	106.4	104.4
season	14.9	16.0		108.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	14.0	15.8	13.7	14.9
MIL	15.2	18.7	14.8	14.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Ehlo	30	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-18	33	13.6	15.5	-1.87	18.0	14.7	3.29
Larry Stewart	6	5	0.12	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-6	9	10.3	15.2	-4.85	12.8	15.9	-3.13
David Wingate	2	2	0.08	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-5	7	6.5	15.1	-8.55	12.0	15.8	-3.85
Sam Perkins	59	56	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.45	6	-9	15	14.3	15.8	-1.52	14.2	18.0	-3.75
Gary Payton	79	80	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.4	17.3	-2.93	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Jim McIlvaine	32	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	17	-37	15.6	14.5	1.09	15.0	16.2	-1.15
Detlef Schrempf	85	83	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.7	1.33	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Shawn Kemp	73	75	-0.51	0.02	-0.53	-0.36	-5	2	-7	15.5	12.5	3.02	16.3	13.7	2.61
Hersey Hawkins	70	69	-0.74	0.25	-0.99	-0.18	-19	16	-35	15.4	13.4	1.95	15.5	16.5	-1.03

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	51	52	0.66	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-9	21	14.2	17.6	-3.43	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Sherman Douglas	62	62	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-8	19	15.4	16.5	-1.11	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Vin Baker	89	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-3	9	15.2	26.2	-11.02	15.1	9.7	5.35
Glenn Robinson	91	91	0.47	0.02	0.45	0.41	2	1	1	15.8	15.0	0.79	15.0	12.3	2.62
Armen Gilliam	70	72	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	9	-15	15.5	16.6	-1.10	14.1	17.3	-3.13
Andrew Lang	23	22	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-6	15	15.7	15.8	-0.04	17.3	14.1	3.13
Joe Wolf	1	0	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	36.0	15.5	20.45	0.0	14.9	-14.87
Chucky Brown	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.02	-3	6	-9	26.2	15.2	11.02	9.7	15.1	-5.35
Elliot Perry	31	31	-0.11	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	17.0	15.2	1.84	15.4	14.6	0.77
Johnny Newman	47	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	13	-23	17.1	14.4	2.68	15.5	14.3	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.91,1	92.7%
MIL 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	92.4%
HOU 111, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.3%