NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +43.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	2.0 [356]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -20.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.28	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.28	0.23	0.07	0.02	23	64%	0.33	2	-0.05	26	92%	0.12
Desmond Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07
Earl Watson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	8	50%	0.04	6	-0.22	6	67%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	13	39%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.43	0.43	0.29	0.15	0.01	19	79%	0.48	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.03
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	28	55%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cheikh Samb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	7%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	28.2	14.7	27.2	2.7	38.5	142.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +65.6%

OKC -17.2%

OKC -28.0%

LAC +33.4%

OKC -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	17.0	15.5	114.3	117.6	106.4
season	14.9	15.7		100.5	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.5	13.3	16.8	15.2	14.6
LAC	18.6	15.5	16.7	17.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	15	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	13.6	14.8	-1.22	17.9	16.8	1.12
Kyle Weaver	43	42	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	15.0	14.2	0.77	17.4	16.8	0.60
Nenad Krstic	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	16.2	13.8	2.42	17.3	16.9	0.43
Earl Watson	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.50	3	-6	9	14.7	14.4	0.27	16.7	18.0	-1.26
Nick Collison	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	14.2	15.8	-1.62	17.1	16.9	0.16
Jeff Green	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	14.2	16.0	-1.75	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Kevin Durant	87	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	14.7	12.7	1.95	17.1	16.6	0.46
Russell Westbrook	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	8	-19	14.5	15.1	-0.69	16.9	17.6	-0.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	88	89	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-4	11	16.9	21.3	-4.45	14.8	8.0	6.76
Fred Jones	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-5	13	17.3	16.3	1.05	15.8	11.9	3.88
Cheikh Samb	42	42	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	17.0	17.1	-0.15	15.9	13.6	2.31
Eric Gordon	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	17.3	14.8	2.50	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Ricky Davis	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-5	13	16.9	17.3	-0.46	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Steve Novak	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	9	-15	16.1	18.0	-1.96	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Mardy Collins	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	1	1	15.6	17.2	-1.64	14.4	14.6	-0.19
DeAndre Jordan	42	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	4	-5	18.3	15.9	2.41	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Jason Hart	25	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	10	-17	16.6	17.2	-0.60	12.1	15.6	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	93.6%
GSW 101, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.4%
MIL 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	93.1%