NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	5.8 [631]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +16.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	1.6 [1085]		LVP	Corie Blount (GSW): -13.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.02	-0.00	27	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Paul McPherson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	14	79%	0.17	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Chris Garner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	12	52%	0.06	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	12	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	21	67%	0.21	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	8	70%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.06
Emanual Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.9	2.6	31.0	15.0	27.2	1.7	28.2	142.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +44.3%

SEA +1.3%

SEA +9.3%

GSW -5.2%

SEA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.5	105.2	115.1	100.9
season	15.0	15.2		95.3	103.8
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	16.6	15.9	17.9	15.4
SEA	14.7	13.4	15.4	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	12.0	16.8	-4.75	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Adam Keefe	31	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	15.1	15.6	-0.42	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Erick Dampier	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	16.5	15.0	1.50	13.4	15.7	-2.26
Paul McPherson	63	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-14	22	15.4	15.5	-0.15	15.4	14.3	1.12
Antawn Jamison	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-4	2	14.8	18.7	-3.93	15.4	12.9	2.50
Chris Porter	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	12	-30	16.5	14.3	2.21	13.9	16.2	-2.30
Corie Blount	72	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.0	16.5	-1.50	15.7	13.4	2.26
Adonal Foyle	65	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	15.6	15.1	0.42	15.6	13.9	1.65
Chris Garner	69	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.8	12.0	4.75	15.2	14.7	0.55

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	53	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	15.3	14.7	0.62	16.2	14.3	1.87
Gary Payton	78	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	15.0	15.3	-0.33	14.8	18.7	-3.93
Rashard Lewis	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	2	2	14.7	15.9	-1.18	13.9	18.7	-4.73
Brent Barry	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	15.4	14.7	0.62	16.4	14.4	1.98
Emanual Davis	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-1	8	15.2	14.9	0.27	14.9	16.0	-1.12
Olumide Oyedeji	10	12	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	3	0	17.7	14.7	2.97	19.5	14.8	4.67
Desmond Mason	33	36	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	15.6	14.7	0.90	17.6	14.1	3.51
Patrick Ewing	59	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	4	-2	15.3	14.6	0.64	14.1	17.6	-3.47
Shammond Williams	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	7	-8	13.5	15.3	-1.71	17.8	15.1	2.76
Jelani McCoy	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	6	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.50	14.7	15.8	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.7%
OKC 104, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.91,1	93.4%
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.4%