NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	7.5 [330]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (MIL): +15.7%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	2.0 [733]		LVP	Vin Baker (MIL): -36.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.01	9	87%	0.29	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Elliot Perry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	17	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	12%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	17	41%	-0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36	-0.17	-0.19	-0.00	23	47%	-0.09	8	-0.27	5	40%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.13	-0.03	19	53%	0.23	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	80%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	67%	0.21	8	-0.23	4	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	22.2	15.4	21.5	2.8	37.2	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.4%

NJN +2.8%

NJN +20.5%

NJN +2.0%

NJN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.6	92.6	97.9	104.4
season	16.0	15.4		103.9	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	16.1	14.8	14.7	15.1
NJN	14.6	15.9	14.6	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	39	38	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	14.1	15.8	-1.75	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Elliot Perry	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-6	7	16.4	14.9	1.53	18.7	14.7	4.01
Andrew Lang	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	16.0	14.6	1.38	15.3	15.2	0.14
Chucky Brown	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	15.5	15.0	0.48	18.1	14.9	3.23
Joe Wolf	3	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-3	1	21.3	14.9	6.45	15.7	15.2	0.54
Glenn Robinson	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	15.1	15.0	0.10	15.6	13.4	2.22
Johnny Newman	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	14.6	15.5	-0.89	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Sherman Douglas	83	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	14.9	16.4	-1.53	14.7	18.7	-4.01
Ray Allen	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	2	-9	15.0	15.3	-0.27	14.8	17.4	-2.58
Vin Baker	87	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.1	16.6	-1.45

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	88	88	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	15.6	10.3	5.34	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Tony Massenburg	67	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-9	23	15.3	15.1	0.23	15.1	15.0	0.12
Kerry Kittles	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	2	1	15.2	15.4	-0.28	14.8	16.0	-1.11
Xavier McDaniel	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	9	-13	14.7	15.8	-1.05	14.6	15.6	-1.06
Kendall Gill	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.4	14.4	1.08	15.6	13.1	2.47
Eric Montross	44	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-4	13	15.8	14.7	1.05	15.6	14.6	1.06
Kevin Edwards	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	6	-7	12.3	16.1	-3.78	13.6	15.5	-1.88
Sam Cassell	25	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	2	1	15.8	15.0	0.83	16.0	14.7	1.31
Joe Kleine	28	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	14	-23	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.0	15.1	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.72,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,1	93.7%
MIN 108, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
LAL 97, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%