NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	6.5 [512]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.6 [816]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -15.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0.07	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	93%	0.13	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	44%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	19	45%	-0.11	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	13	71%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.15	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	17	49%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	6	37%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	31.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	29.5	131.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.3%

WAS -9.9%

PHI +19.8%

WAS -7.9%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.6	102.2	108.7	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		102.2	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	17.9	16.6	16.3	16.4
PHI	14.8	15.6	15.4	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	4	5	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-11	13	17.7	16.4	1.37	19.0	15.2	3.80
Bobby Simmons	16	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-9	9	16.7	16.4	0.38	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Jahidi White	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	16.0	16.5	-0.53	16.5	15.2	1.27
Chris Whitney	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.9	-1.04	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Kwame Brown	47	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	16.4	16.4	0.02	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Tyrone Nesby	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	17.5	15.6	1.90	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Richard Hamilton	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	15.9	18.3	-2.42	15.4	15.4	0.05
Tyronn Lue	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-10	11	17.1	15.5	1.60	16.1	14.5	1.51
Christian Laettner	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	1	-11	16.1	16.8	-0.67	16.0	14.8	1.26
Etan Thomas	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	16.7	15.6	1.02	15.2	16.1	-0.97
Courtney Alexander	57	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	4	-17	16.1	17.1	-0.97	15.6	15.1	0.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	68	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-5	19	15.6	15.0	0.60	16.8	15.3	1.59
Speedy Claxton	73	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	15.3	15.8	-0.55	16.9	14.3	2.65
Eric Snow	79	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-1	11	15.6	14.2	1.36	16.2	17.8	-1.56
Derrick McKey	45	42	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	14.0	16.7	-2.66	16.6	16.3	0.30
Derrick Coleman	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	0	9	15.6	14.9	0.65	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Matt Harpring	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	15.7	15.0	0.63	16.1	16.9	-0.81
Corie Blount	32	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	13	-17	15.7	15.2	0.49	16.6	16.4	0.17
Vonteego Cummings	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	7	-5	0.0	15.6	-15.57	2.0	16.6	-14.60
Alvin Jones	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	12	-15	22.0	15.3	6.67	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Raja Bell	36	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	16	-23	15.9	15.1	0.80	16.0	16.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%
MIL 86, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.5%
SAS 76, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%