inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Excitement6.1 [570] MVPFelipe Lopez (WAS): +19.9%
Washington Wizards 115 Comeback2.4 [204] LVPWally Szczerbiak (MIN): -7.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.050.021664%0.192-0.0910%-0.02
Terrell Brandon0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.04-0.031455%0.152-0.061100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.000.00275%0.042-0.064100%0.03
Kevin Garnett-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.020.082455%-0.0200.00887%0.02
Anthony Peeler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001146%-0.001-0.052100%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.050.01570%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Sam Mitchell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.011338%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Felipe Lopez0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.160.060.021381%0.221-0.02667%-0.02
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.08-0.011761%0.191-0.022100%0.01
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.00968%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.03-0.03369%0.061-0.00771%-0.03
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.011157%0.123-0.09683%-0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.020.01674%0.103-0.087100%0.03
Obinna Ekezie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00262%0.0100.00475%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01557%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.731.415.824.22.534.5132.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +47.1%
WAS +9.7%
MIN -25.1%
WAS +14.3%
WAS +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINWASNBAMINWASNBA
this game16.515.515.5121.3126.4100.9
season15.015.2102.998.6
opponent15.215.9105.5101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.917.918.014.516.5
WAS14.814.218.015.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dean Garrett40410.10-0.600.70-0.1910-172717.615.62.0516.714.52.21
Chauncey Billups31310.04-0.540.59-0.136-131916.816.30.4317.014.82.20
Sam Mitchell4038-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-81-916.716.30.3714.916.0-1.07
Rasho Nesterovic2122-0.25-0.250.010.11-125-1716.916.40.5415.715.40.28
Kevin Garnett7173-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.26-3-4115.619.9-4.2615.615.00.64
Wally Szczerbiak7274-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.27-3-4115.919.2-3.3215.913.62.30
Terrell Brandon7173-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.20-70-716.317.2-0.9115.117.1-1.99
Anthony Peeler5054-0.500.00-0.51-0.24-92-1116.416.6-0.1714.816.6-1.77
LaPhonso Ellis4949-0.540.04-0.59-0.28-92-1117.615.22.4014.516.7-2.18

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney87850.56-0.060.620.309-21115.418.0-2.6016.712.54.18
Juwan Howard68660.450.050.400.0713-61914.817.6-2.7415.918.2-2.26
Calvin Booth63590.380.120.260.1870715.216.3-1.1117.215.02.20
Richard Hamilton57560.370.130.250.2934-115.216.1-0.9616.616.40.16
Felipe Lopez71700.350.150.190.2052315.216.7-1.5215.818.9-3.05
Tyrone Nesby58560.220.28-0.060.1043116.413.92.5717.015.71.27
Obinna Ekezie25260.110.39-0.270.14-18-918.114.53.5916.616.50.12
Michael Smith26270.060.44-0.390.20-512-1715.715.50.1916.216.6-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.98,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 93, CHA 980.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.96,193.8%
MIL 88, NJN 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.72,0.9,0.98,193.6%
DAL 97, PHX 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,193.5%