NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	7.2 [423]		MVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): +17.6%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	2.2 [639]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -11.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	60%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.03	14	53%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	16	44%	-0.04	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.02	10	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.05	7	89%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	18	41%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	0.00	14	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.5	15.4	27.4	2.4	38.5	139.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.0%

WAS -6.7%

WAS -4.0%

CHA +17.8%

CHA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	14.8	97.9	103.2	107.7
season	14.4	15.1		109.9	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.3	17.7	13.4	12.7	15.2
CHA	14.7	13.6	17.3	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	10	11	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-10	15	17.5	14.9	2.62	13.6	15.4	-1.72
Brandon Jennings	29	28	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-12	19	17.1	14.3	2.80	17.6	14.1	3.42
Kelly Oubre Jr.	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-6	7	16.3	14.4	1.89	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Ian Mahinmi	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	16.5	14.3	2.26	17.0	13.9	3.11
Bojan Bogdanovic	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-4	3	15.6	14.8	0.85	15.8	14.5	1.30
Jason Smith	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	1	-7	14.7	15.8	-1.10	16.1	14.0	2.12
Marcin Gortat	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.5	16.1	-1.58	14.1	16.7	-2.56
Otto Porter Jr.	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.6	16.6	-1.95	14.7	16.4	-1.69
John Wall	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	5	-15	14.6	16.8	-2.20	14.5	17.3	-2.77
Bradley Beal	66	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	14.3	17.1	-2.80	14.4	16.9	-2.50

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	14.1	18.1	-4.02	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	15.2	15.1	0.06	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Kemba Walker	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	1	3	14.1	18.1	-3.97	14.7	16.6	-1.90
Nicolas Batum	58	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	2	1	13.4	17.8	-4.39	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Marco Belinelli	52	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-5	15	15.7	14.5	1.27	15.8	14.4	1.35
Marvin Williams	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	6	-7	14.9	15.7	-0.81	15.3	14.9	0.38
Briante Weber	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	18.1	14.1	3.97	16.6	14.7	1.90
Frank Kaminsky	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	5	-5	16.9	13.0	3.91	15.8	14.3	1.52
Jeremy Lamb	26	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	17.8	14.2	3.60	16.3	14.7	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.97,1,1	94.1%
MIN 108, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	93.8%
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	93.8%