NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	6.4 [419]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +39.8%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.7 [901]		LVP	LeBron James (MIA): -19.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	-0.00	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Ryan Hollins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	11	71%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Samardo Samuels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	9	55%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.38,0.4	0.40	0.24	0.20	0.05	16	76%	0.45	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.07
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	21	39%	0.03	5	-0.23	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.5	26.5	17.7	23.6	2.5	41.2	137.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +18.4%

MIA +8.4%

MIA +7.7%

MIA +10.4%

MIA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.4	15.6	91.4	101.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.5		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		98.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	15.2	14.2	13.3	15.0
MIA	16.8	13.6	21.1	14.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	42	41	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-17	27	14.2	15.6	-1.46	17.6	15.3	2.25
Anthony Parker	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-10	13	14.7	15.3	-0.63	16.7	15.8	0.93
Ramon Sessions	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.1	-0.25	16.6	16.1	0.49
Ryan Hollins	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	14.5	15.1	-0.65	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Alonzo Gee	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	14.8	15.1	-0.32	17.0	15.5	1.56
Omri Casspi	34	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	1	-9	16.9	13.9	3.02	16.1	16.5	-0.33
Kyrie Irving	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.8	0.25	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Daniel Gibson	47	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	2	-11	14.0	15.9	-1.87	15.3	17.4	-2.15
Anderson Varejao	59	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	0	-7	15.3	14.4	0.92	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Antawn Jamison	62	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	6	-19	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.8	17.5	-1.67

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	15.7	19.5	-3.73	15.8	11.3	4.50
LeBron James	70	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-2	11	16.5	16.0	0.46	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Norris Cole	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	14.8	19.0	-4.16	13.7	17.2	-3.48
Udonis Haslem	48	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	17.2	15.4	1.77	13.1	17.2	-4.14
Mario Chalmers	44	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	6	-5	18.0	14.8	3.19	15.3	14.6	0.71
Dexter Pittman	17	17	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	0	7	13.8	16.9	-3.18	14.0	15.2	-1.18
James Jones	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	13.8	17.9	-4.13	15.6	14.6	1.04
Mike Miller	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	7	-7	17.8	15.3	2.50	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Joel Anthony	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	6	-5	18.8	14.9	3.95	17.2	13.7	3.48
Shane Battier	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	16.5	16.2	0.32	16.8	13.8	2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	94.1%
CHI 79, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.9,1,1	94.1%