NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	3.0 [1145]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +13.7%
Orlando Magic	57		Comeback	1.0 [657]		LVP	Amal McCaskill (ORL): -13.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.04	-0.07	16	61%	0.16	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	16	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	12	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Demps	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	8	31%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	-0.00	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	4	33%	-0.04	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Amal McCaskill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	26.3	16.3	25.6	2.3	29.3	124.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.4%

CLE +4.4%

ORL -3.2%

CLE +7.9%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	19.3	17.1	15.6	106.3	72.2	104.4
season	17.8	16.4		102.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.7	22.6	20.9	16.6	19.3
ORL	17.3	21.1	19.1	12.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	30	-3	33	21.0	15.5	5.52	18.7	13.6	5.07
Terrell Brandon	61	64	0.50	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	5	17	20.3	16.2	4.04	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Chris Mills	60	60	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.31	27	0	27	20.8	14.7	6.13	18.0	14.2	3.82
Mark West	35	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	14	-1	18.5	20.0	-1.59	18.0	16.3	1.72
Bob Sura	44	45	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	20	-13	20.8	17.5	3.33	19.1	14.4	4.69
Bobby Phills	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	19	-11	17.9	19.7	-1.86	17.2	17.1	0.08
Danny Ferry	40	39	0.09	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	21	-15	22.6	15.9	6.70	18.6	15.7	2.86
Antonio Lang	37	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.19	7	20	-13	18.2	20.3	-2.07	17.0	17.2	-0.16
Vitaly Potapenko	19	18	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.9	21.4	-8.42	11.7	18.7	-6.98
Donny Marshall	9	8	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.12	4	23	-19	11.3	20.4	-9.04	7.9	18.2	-10.28
Reggie Geary	9	8	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.12	4	23	-19	11.3	20.4	-9.04	7.9	18.2	-10.28
Carl Thomas	9	8	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.18	6	21	-15	11.3	20.4	-9.04	7.9	18.2	-10.28

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Demps	20	20	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	0.26	-10	-17	7	12.8	18.6	-5.78	13.6	21.3	-7.69
Darrell Armstrong	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-19	11	16.7	17.7	-1.02	20.0	18.3	1.78
David Vaughn	26	26	-0.07	-0.42	0.36	0.11	-6	-21	15	16.2	17.6	-1.43	15.6	21.2	-5.55
Derek Strong	22	23	-0.16	-0.33	0.17	-0.13	-1	-26	25	21.9	15.3	6.58	24.2	17.3	6.88
Rony Seikaly	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-10	-7	17.9	15.7	2.17	21.3	15.7	5.56
Amal McCaskill	41	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.24	-23	-4	-19	15.7	18.7	-2.97	16.7	22.1	-5.35
Brian Shaw	67	66	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	0.40	-29	2	-31	16.9	18.1	-1.14	18.8	22.1	-3.27
Gerald Wilkins	59	60	-0.46	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	-5	-17	17.9	14.6	3.30	20.6	15.4	5.16
Horace Grant	62	61	-0.50	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	-8	-11	17.2	16.6	0.59	19.9	17.6	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DEN 103, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DET 98, CHA 81	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%