NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	3.6 [1048]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +10.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.1 [1047]		LVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): -9.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	21	69%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	6	72%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jon Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.04	13	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	13	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	13	57%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	29.0	16.5	18.5	2.5	23.5	112.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.0%

SAC +9.3%

SAC +3.9%

SAC +13.3%

SAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	15.5	114.8	101.1	100.9
season	14.4	16.1		103.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	15.5	14.9	21.1	16.0
LAC	13.8	18.8	19.4	15.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	15.2	23.7	-8.51	16.5	18.9	-2.42
Jason Williams	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-5	22	14.5	18.3	-3.78	18.2	14.3	3.90
Doug Christie	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	15.4	17.8	-2.36	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Chris Webber	74	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	3	6	16.1	15.6	0.52	16.5	17.9	-1.39
Vlade Divac	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-1	14	14.5	19.0	-4.53	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Scot Pollard	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	13	-14	19.0	14.5	4.53	17.1	16.5	0.63
Jon Barry	26	26	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.14	0	12	-12	19.4	14.6	4.84	17.5	16.4	1.17
Bobby Jackson	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	14	-16	18.4	14.7	3.67	14.6	17.8	-3.20
Hedo Turkoglu	17	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	10	-8	16.3	15.9	0.35	17.6	16.5	1.11
Darrick Martin	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	17.5	15.9	1.56	11.0	16.9	-5.92

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	20.8	15.9	4.92	19.4	15.4	4.06
Keyon Dooling	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-18	24	17.5	16.4	1.06	19.4	14.5	4.85
Sean Rooks	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-9	6	19.7	16.6	3.18	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Earl Boykins	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-12	12	19.8	16.1	3.65	17.5	15.7	1.75
Cherokee Parks	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-17	22	17.5	15.9	1.57	18.3	13.9	4.39
Michael Olowokandi	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	1	-14	16.3	17.3	-1.04	14.6	18.0	-3.41
Jeff McInnis	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	3	-18	17.0	15.7	1.32	15.3	18.4	-3.17
Darius Miles	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	15.3	19.9	-4.58	15.0	18.5	-3.59
Lamar Odom	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.14	-12	0	-12	16.5	20.6	-4.12	15.4	26.2	-10.80
Eric Piatkowski	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	3	-18	15.8	20.6	-4.78	15.9	16.7	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
LAL 110, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
CLE 84, ORL 57	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%