inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement3.4 [1140] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons 84 Comeback1.0 [455] LVPAvery Bradley (DET): -12.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.130,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.010.031970%0.162-0.032100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0.090,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.030.031169%0.111-0.024100%0.01
Trey Lyles0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.200.000.117111%0.121-0.03475%-0.00
Malik Beasley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.050.01-0.091136%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00771%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Monte Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02233%-0.011-0.002100%0.01
Will Barton-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.011036%-0.021-0.012100%-0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.02642%-0.025-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.000.04670%0.0500.00875%-0.01
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.180.000.15986%0.0300.003100%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Moreland00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00658%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.01560%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.021052%-0.002-0.033100%0.01
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.13-0.00-0.10442%0.016-0.04475%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.041429%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.17-0.00-0.05712%-0.074-0.052100%0.01
Avery Bradley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.021027%-0.073-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.323.615.426.61.727.4121.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +48.9%
DET -3.5%
DET -5.3%
DEN +3.5%
DEN +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game14.514.914.7105.185.7107.5
season14.714.9111.2106.4
opponent14.714.7106.3109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.513.114.016.514.5
DET12.218.215.414.114.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee59600.65-0.150.80-0.2029-103913.815.6-1.8615.114.50.56
Will Barton71710.56-0.060.63-0.2026-73314.614.30.3614.715.2-0.49
Wilson Chandler56550.53-0.030.55-0.4734-154914.314.9-0.5914.215.7-1.52
Jamal Murray67680.51-0.010.51-0.2325-63114.115.3-1.1713.917.1-3.22
Gary Harris65670.390.110.29-0.3425-63114.015.5-1.4114.515.7-1.18
Malik Beasley48470.020.48-0.460.28-928-3715.014.00.9815.614.21.32
Monte Morris760.000.50-0.500.12-423-2713.914.6-0.7112.515.0-2.52
Juan Hernangomez760.000.50-0.500.12-423-2713.914.6-0.7112.515.0-2.52
Trey Lyles5354-0.000.50-0.500.20-726-3315.113.91.1715.514.11.37
Emmanuel Mudiay2828-0.010.51-0.510.20-726-3315.514.11.3717.413.93.54
Darrell Arthur2928-0.150.65-0.810.23-1332-4515.814.01.7615.514.60.89

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Langston Galloway44450.09-0.590.67-0.158-273514.215.4-1.1615.413.81.63
Boban Marjanovic29280.08-0.580.65-0.168-273513.815.3-1.5713.814.8-1.03
Anthony Tolliver29270.06-0.560.63-0.085-242915.114.80.3813.614.9-1.23
Ish Smith47460.04-0.540.58-0.084-232714.615.1-0.5614.914.20.74
Eric Moreland990.00-0.500.500.000-191912.915.1-2.1815.114.50.65
Henry Ellenson1617-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-212313.215.2-1.9315.814.31.51
Stanley Johnson2929-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-222513.915.3-1.3815.714.01.61
Luke Kennard2625-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-171517.913.84.1613.814.8-1.02
Reggie Bullock4848-0.48-0.02-0.460.17-223-2514.115.6-1.5813.815.2-1.35
Reggie Jackson5152-0.540.04-0.580.14-234-2715.114.60.5614.214.9-0.74
Avery Bradley4949-0.560.06-0.620.17-256-3115.214.60.6314.114.9-0.84
Tobias Harris6062-0.560.06-0.630.14-245-2915.014.60.4314.814.00.82
Andre Drummond5353-0.570.07-0.650.28-2910-3916.013.62.3814.514.5-0.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 103, VAN 850.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
CLE 84, ORL 570.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
SAS 93, POR 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.3%