NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	3.2 [1110]		MVP	Derek Anderson (SAS): +8.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	79		Comeback	1.0 [565]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -10.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	16	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	67%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	62%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	9	11%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	29.2	19.4	28.5	3.5	33.5	142.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.5%

SAS +7.7%

SAS +16.9%

SAS +3.6%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	19.4	15.8	15.5	112.0	98.8	100.9
season	15.9	15.8		103.4	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.3	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.7	20.0	15.3	26.0	19.4
POR	16.6	18.9	14.7	13.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-10	34	19.2	19.7	-0.44	16.5	15.1	1.34
David Robinson	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	-3	20	17.4	21.4	-4.04	16.1	15.6	0.47
Tim Duncan	73	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-4	22	18.8	24.2	-5.42	16.1	14.2	1.87
Derek Anderson	72	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	0	14	18.8	23.3	-4.43	15.4	19.2	-3.84
Danny Ferry	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	3	8	18.9	20.4	-1.57	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Sean Elliott	19	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	10	-6	21.4	18.8	2.58	17.8	15.3	2.45
Samaki Walker	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	17	-20	20.2	18.8	1.39	16.2	15.6	0.60
Derrick Dial	9	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	30.4	18.1	12.35	12.4	16.2	-3.74
Avery Johnson	40	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	22	-30	20.1	18.8	1.33	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Antonio Daniels	35	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	17	-20	19.8	19.2	0.63	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Shawnelle Scott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	26.5	19.3	7.24	10.0	16.0	-5.99

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	33	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-20	26	15.2	16.3	-1.06	22.7	17.0	5.67
Detlef Schrempf	26	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-19	24	13.6	16.9	-3.29	23.1	17.6	5.54
Steven Smith	44	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-18	22	15.8	15.9	-0.14	21.4	16.7	4.70
Shawn Kemp	36	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	1	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.21	17.8	20.9	-3.04
Rasheed Wallace	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-12	10	15.8	15.9	-0.05	20.4	17.2	3.25
Bonzi Wells	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.2	15.0	1.14	18.7	21.1	-2.39
Dale Davis	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-2	-10	16.3	15.3	1.03	18.1	21.0	-2.84
Scottie Pippen	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	10	-34	16.3	14.7	1.60	17.8	22.9	-5.08
Damon Stoudamire	47	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.11	-20	6	-26	16.3	15.2	1.06	17.0	22.7	-5.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 121, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DEN 103, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MEM 102, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%