NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	97		Excitement	6.1 [558]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +15.8%
Miami Heat	105		Comeback	2.6 [615]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -14.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.01	18	63%	0.18	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.07	0.02	7	76%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Anthony Goldwire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	17	65%	0.11	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	30%	-0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	9	74%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	20	54%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	15	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.2	15.0	24.3	2.4	31.2	126.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -14.7%

MIA +11.5%

MIA +20.8%

MIA +30.8%

MIA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIA	NBA	CHH	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.6	105.4	112.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.8		108.0	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.0		98.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	17.0	16.9	17.7	16.6
MIA	13.8	18.2	11.5	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	15	14	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-15	22	16.4	16.6	-0.20	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Scott Burrell	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.16	4	-12	16	17.8	16.1	1.73	16.8	13.7	3.09
Tony Smith	33	33	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.04	-1	-7	6	16.2	16.7	-0.50	14.7	14.5	0.13
Matt Geiger	39	39	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.04	-1	-7	6	16.7	16.5	0.18	13.3	15.5	-2.15
Vlade Divac	69	71	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-17	26	17.3	14.4	2.90	15.2	12.7	2.49
George Zidek	12	12	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	3	-14	11.9	17.3	-5.35	11.4	15.0	-3.63
Glen Rice	78	77	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	16.2	18.5	-2.28	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Anthony Goldwire	59	60	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	16.7	16.2	0.50	14.5	14.7	-0.13
Anthony Mason	77	79	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.12	-15	7	-22	16.6	16.4	0.20	14.6	14.4	0.18
Dell Curry	52	54	-0.61	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	9	-26	16.5	16.6	-0.15	14.4	14.9	-0.55

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	93	92	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	14.6	0.0	14.58	16.6	0.0	16.57
P.J. Brown	56	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	15.3	13.5	1.86	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Tim Hardaway	76	75	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	14.6	14.3	0.35	16.4	17.4	-0.97
Sasha Danilovic	57	57	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.41	-2	10	-12	13.5	16.2	-2.68	15.8	17.9	-2.13
Alonzo Mourning	68	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	0	8	14.3	15.4	-1.07	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Keith Askins	27	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.09	10	-2	12	16.1	14.0	2.16	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Kurt Thomas	45	45	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	13	-18	13.8	15.3	-1.56	16.6	16.5	0.11
Gary Grant	22	23	0.03	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	4	0	15.3	14.4	0.97	19.7	15.5	4.23
Ike Austin	21	21	0.03	0.46	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	15.1	14.4	0.66	17.9	16.2	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.71,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.76,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%
LAC 80, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	92.8%
LAC 90, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.94,0.96,1,1,1	91.9%