NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	5.7 [664]		MVP	Derek Anderson (LAC): +14.2%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.8 [848]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -15.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	22	64%	0.20	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.08
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	10	66%	0.03	6	-0.16	12	92%	0.05
Tyrone Nesby	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	11	36%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	13	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	13	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	26	38%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	26.3	15.7	25.0	1.7	27.8	124.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.6%

LAC -11.6%

DAL +1.2%

DAL +20.0%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	15.2	91.8	100.0	101.7
season	15.6	14.8		95.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.3		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	15.9	15.6	14.7	15.0
DAL	13.4	12.9	13.8	17.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-12	15	14.1	15.1	-1.07	15.1	14.1	1.04
Troy Hudson	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.5	15.1	-0.63	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Pete Chilcutt	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	14.5	15.2	-0.68	14.5	14.2	0.30
Keith Closs	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-3	-3	17.8	14.8	3.03	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Eric Murdock	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	15.8	14.1	1.71	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Michael Olowokandi	82	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.6	17.2	-2.63	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Tyrone Nesby	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	14.9	15.0	-0.10	15.1	13.2	1.93
Derek Anderson	88	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	15.1	14.1	0.99	14.5	11.9	2.60
Maurice Taylor	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	4	-17	15.1	14.7	0.45	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Lamar Odom	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.46	14.4	13.5	0.82

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	1	7	14.4	12.0	2.40	15.2	11.8	3.36
Greg Buckner	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	14.9	13.6	1.33	15.5	14.5	0.92
Dirk Nowitzki	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	14.1	15.1	-0.97	15.1	14.2	0.88
Sean Rooks	34	33	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.8	14.1	2.67
Shawn Bradley	61	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	14.3	14.1	0.20	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Steve Nash	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	0	9	12.8	15.3	-2.55	15.6	14.5	1.10
Cedric Ceballos	67	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	13	-17	14.9	12.8	2.08	14.6	15.8	-1.29
Hubert Davis	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	14.2	14.3	-0.08	14.6	15.2	-0.66
Erick Strickland	33	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	14	-19	14.3	14.2	0.03	13.5	15.8	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.94,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 107, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.99,1	94.3%
SEA 106, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1	93.6%
PHI 81, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.5%