NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.8 [655]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +5.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	2.0 [641]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -19.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	57%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Armen Gilliam	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	17	57%	0.02	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.11	0.04	20	52%	-0.05	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	23	61%	0.17	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.05
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	20	44%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	15	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	62.4	2.7	28.2	18.6	29.1	2.7	39.2	182.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +22.9%

UTA -4.1%

UTA -0.2%

SEA +24.6%

SEA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.2	101.1	111.8	101.7
season	16.3	14.9		104.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	18.4	13.4	17.0	15.9
SEA	15.4	11.8	15.9	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-14	17	16.6	15.7	0.88	17.1	14.4	2.75
Howard Eisley	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-7	3	15.8	16.0	-0.21	14.2	16.0	-1.74
Scott Padgett	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-6	1	17.5	15.7	1.85	12.0	15.7	-3.71
Armen Gilliam	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	3	-17	17.1	15.4	1.70	12.8	16.1	-3.33
Karl Malone	74	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-12	13	15.8	16.6	-0.76	15.7	13.1	2.54
John Stockton	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-8	5	15.1	20.6	-5.54	15.5	13.9	1.52
Bryon Russell	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	15.7	17.8	-2.08	15.6	12.1	3.47
Greg Ostertag	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	15.2	17.0	-1.80	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Jeff Hornacek	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	4	-19	17.0	13.2	3.78	15.5	14.4	1.07

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	81	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-3	17	15.8	11.0	4.81	16.6	11.7	4.95
Gary Payton	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.18	10	1	9	15.2	15.1	0.14	16.3	13.7	2.62
Brent Barry	75	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	4	3	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.0	15.7	0.25
Rashard Lewis	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	7	-3	15.7	13.2	2.56	14.6	21.4	-6.84
Horace Grant	79	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	8	-5	15.5	13.3	2.25	15.1	21.8	-6.77
Ruben Patterson	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	-5	21	12.3	16.6	-4.31	18.9	14.4	4.46
Greg Foster	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	6	-1	12.2	16.3	-4.11	16.6	15.7	0.84
Shammond Williams	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	15	-19	16.5	14.9	1.67	14.7	16.3	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.76,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.5%
LAC 80, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	93.1%
CHH 97, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.71,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%