NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	2.4 [1205]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +10.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	76		Comeback	1.0 [613]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): -8.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	13	79%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Burton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	15	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	15	56%	0.05	5	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	8	29%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	-0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.00	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	-0.12	8	35%	-0.02	5	-0.06	10	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.7	1.0	24.5	0.2	26.3	107.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.4%

ATL +2.4%

POR -4.6%

ATL +17.9%

ATL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	105.6	84.4	104.4
season	16.4	15.5		105.3	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	13.2	16.6	19.4	16.1
POR	15.7	16.2	16.1	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	78	77	0.45	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	0	18	15.9	17.3	-1.38	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Mookie Blaylock	72	71	0.44	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	1	16	16.5	14.1	2.48	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Tyrone Corbin	57	58	0.44	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-2	22	16.5	15.2	1.33	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Ivano Newbill	56	55	0.44	0.05	0.39	-0.06	17	1	16	16.5	15.3	1.17	16.5	15.5	1.02
Steven Smith	69	70	0.33	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	12	-6	15.9	16.8	-0.94	16.8	13.5	3.29
Jon Barry	32	33	0.21	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	7	4	16.2	16.0	0.14	15.3	16.6	-1.23
Willie Burton	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	20	-22	14.7	17.0	-2.35	16.2	16.0	0.18
Christian Laettner	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	22	-26	17.7	15.2	2.48	16.8	15.7	1.12
Priest Lauderdale	5	6	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.06	2	16	-14	11.6	16.3	-4.73	13.3	16.3	-2.98
Eldridge Recasner	5	6	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.06	2	16	-14	11.6	16.3	-4.73	13.3	16.3	-2.98
Donnie Boyce	3	4	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.09	3	15	-12	10.7	16.3	-5.59	9.7	16.4	-6.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	4	3	0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.09	-3	-15	12	9.7	16.4	-6.66	10.7	16.3	-5.59
Reggie Jordan	12	10	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	0.01	-2	-16	14	16.2	16.1	0.06	12.3	16.5	-4.24
Dontonio Wingfield	14	13	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.08	-5	-13	8	17.4	15.9	1.48	14.5	16.3	-1.88
Gary Trent	51	52	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.09	-3	-15	12	16.0	16.3	-0.30	16.1	16.0	0.12
Chris Dudley	48	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-11	4	15.8	16.5	-0.73	16.2	16.0	0.18
Aaron McKie	32	31	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	0.17	-14	-4	-10	15.5	16.4	-0.90	16.6	15.8	0.79
Arvydas Sabonis	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.02	-11	-7	-4	16.5	15.8	0.73	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Kenny Anderson	67	65	-0.32	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-11	4	16.0	16.3	-0.32	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Rasheed Wallace	51	51	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	0.11	-16	-2	-14	16.6	15.4	1.19	16.6	15.4	1.17
Isaiah Rider	66	69	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.8	14.3	2.48	16.7	13.9	2.73
Clifford Robinson	63	62	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	15.6	17.3	-1.69	16.0	16.3	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
GSW 109, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
ATL 101, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%