NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	139		Excitement	4.5 [905]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +25.3%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	2.7 [839]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -3.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.28	0.05	0.07	19	77%	0.28	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.03	0.05	13	77%	0.16	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	19	51%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Neemias Queta	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	14	68%	0.18	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.03	11	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	29.5	14.7	28.1	2.4	24.3	128.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.4%

BKN -3.9%

BOS +12.3%

BOS +10.2%

BOS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.8	14.4	143.3	116.3	113.1
season	15.3	15.3		118.7	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.2	17.2	17.6	15.8
BKN	13.5	16.4	13.5	11.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	70	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	1	23	16.0	15.0	1.04	14.1	12.9	1.20
Jaylen Brown	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.32	27	-2	29	15.1	18.1	-3.02	14.2	12.5	1.72
Neemias Queta	44	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	6	13	14.5	16.8	-2.38	14.4	13.3	1.13
Payton Pritchard	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	11	3	16.4	14.1	2.27	14.0	13.2	0.86
Jrue Holiday	67	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.24	18	7	11	15.1	17.3	-2.24	14.3	12.8	1.43
Derrick White	43	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	12	1	16.3	15.3	1.03	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Sam Hauser	48	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	15	-5	16.7	14.9	1.81	14.1	13.5	0.58
Luke Kornet	53	51	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	19	-13	16.8	14.5	2.38	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Xavier Tillman	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	13.4	15.9	-2.48	6.8	14.2	-7.37
Jordan Walsh	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	13.4	15.9	-2.48	6.8	14.2	-7.37
Drew Peterson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	13.4	15.9	-2.48	6.8	14.2	-7.37

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Martin	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-22	19	13.6	13.9	-0.23	16.5	15.3	1.15
Jalen Wilson	46	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-20	15	13.4	14.2	-0.80	16.3	15.3	1.04
Noah Clowney	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-18	11	12.9	14.3	-1.42	17.8	14.7	3.14
Keon Johnson	50	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.27	-16	-9	-7	13.5	14.1	-0.52	15.8	15.7	0.18
Nic Claxton	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-19	13	14.0	13.6	0.34	14.4	17.3	-2.91
Shake Milton	50	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-9	-7	13.2	14.4	-1.18	16.5	15.0	1.52
Cam Thomas	55	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-8	-9	14.1	13.4	0.71	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Cameron Johnson	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.22	-20	-5	-15	14.2	13.3	0.86	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Ziaire Williams	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.24	-21	-4	-17	14.1	13.4	0.73	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Dennis Schroder	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-11	-3	14.3	12.8	1.50	15.4	16.4	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 91, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
GSW 98, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%