NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	4.0 [1007]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +17.7%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	2.1 [269]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -10.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.02	15	78%	0.24	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.04	4	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	5	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	11	65%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	16	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	26.2	15.7	24.2	2.0	26.3	119.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.4%

ATL -6.5%

GSW +8.1%

ATL -7.0%

GSW +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.7	105.4	89.5	100.5
season	16.1	15.3		100.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	18.5	11.0	16.8	15.1
ATL	14.8	18.4	16.0	13.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	60	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-8	29	13.4	18.2	-4.84	16.9	12.9	3.95
Mike Dunleavy	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	6	1	14.4	17.5	-3.11	14.9	17.5	-2.65
Speedy Claxton	48	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	3	7	16.4	13.7	2.73	15.8	15.2	0.66
Jason Richardson	61	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	0	13	13.7	17.8	-4.06	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Erick Dampier	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	10	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.03	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Nick Van Exel	55	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	7	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.02	16.1	14.7	1.32
Brian Cardinal	42	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	-2	17	17.0	13.6	3.43	16.7	14.5	2.17
Calbert Cheaney	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	3	7	16.6	14.1	2.50	16.6	14.8	1.73
Troy Murphy	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	17	-21	16.2	14.6	1.57	13.4	16.4	-3.01
Cherokee Parks	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	18.0	14.9	3.08	8.2	15.9	-7.72
Mickael Pietrus	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	18.0	14.9	3.08	11.5	15.8	-4.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	32	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-14	15	15.1	15.7	-0.59	16.2	14.6	1.63
Dan Dickau	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-18	23	12.7	16.4	-3.66	16.9	14.5	2.33
Chris Crawford	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.8	16.4	-2.57	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Travis Hansen	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-19	25	14.7	16.0	-1.29	16.7	14.1	2.60
Lee Nailon	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-11	9	14.1	16.2	-2.10	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Theo Ratliff	56	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.5	15.5	0.01	16.0	14.0	2.01
Nazr Mohammed	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-8	3	16.0	15.2	0.81	14.6	15.4	-0.88
Dion Glover	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	4	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.45	13.5	18.2	-4.77
Stephen Jackson	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	3	-19	16.5	14.5	1.99	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	3	-19	15.9	14.6	1.34	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Jacque Vaughn	51	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	9	-31	17.9	12.7	5.19	14.9	15.4	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 99, DET 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 119, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.4,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%