NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	3.3 [1153]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +15.7%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	2.4 [385]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -11.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.01	0.01	11	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.08	11	64%	0.10	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	7	43%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	14	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	20	51%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	14	67%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	11	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	28.2	17.7	28.1	0.3	28.0	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.2%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +5.4%

TOR +9.3%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.4	113.8	94.3	104.1
season	16.1	15.7		104.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.9	16.7	14.3	17.9	16.4
DET	16.6	17.6	16.3	16.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	67	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-10	37	15.9	17.8	-1.94	17.1	15.2	1.92
Rudy Gay	48	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	0	17	15.6	17.3	-1.72	16.9	16.5	0.38
DeMar DeRozan	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-4	25	15.7	17.7	-1.95	16.9	16.3	0.57
Kyle Lowry	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	2	13	15.6	17.8	-2.20	16.3	17.4	-1.09
Jonas Valanciunas	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	17	-17	16.2	16.9	-0.62	16.4	18.1	-1.63
Landry Fields	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	10	-3	17.4	15.6	1.79	16.6	16.8	-0.25
John Lucas III	31	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	15	-13	17.8	15.6	2.20	17.4	16.3	1.09
Terrence Ross	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	21	-25	17.7	15.7	1.95	16.3	16.9	-0.57
Alan Anderson	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	17	-17	17.3	15.6	1.72	16.5	16.9	-0.38

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	15.0	17.1	-2.05	17.6	16.1	1.53
Viacheslav Kravtsov	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	15.4	16.9	-1.58	17.9	16.1	1.81
Kim English	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-21	25	16.1	17.2	-1.11	17.3	15.7	1.59
Rodney Stuckey	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-7	-3	17.3	16.2	1.16	16.9	15.8	1.13
Jonas Jerebko	50	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-11	5	16.7	16.8	-0.16	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Jason Maxiell	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-6	-5	16.6	16.8	-0.26	16.8	16.2	0.60
Andre Drummond	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-10	3	16.8	16.7	0.08	16.8	16.1	0.65
Jose Calderon	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-1	-15	16.6	17.1	-0.53	15.6	17.9	-2.36
Greg Monroe	55	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-1	-15	17.2	16.0	1.13	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Kyle Singler	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	16.9	16.5	0.39	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Brandon Knight	48	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.18	-24	7	-31	17.2	16.2	1.08	16.0	16.7	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 111, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%