NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	9.5 [25]		MVP	Clint Capela (ATL): +51.5%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	10.2 [13]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -31.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	23	64%	0.32	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Tyler Kolek	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.02	2	150%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Miles McBride	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	80%	0.20	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	18	55%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.08
Jericho Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.51	0.51	0.16	0.37	0.01	8	100%	0.53	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.24	0.05	0.03	18	73%	0.26	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.09
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	18	64%	0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.02	5	69%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	21	46%	-0.14	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.14	-0.02	16	19%	-0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	24.9	14.7	26.4	2.4	41.5	135.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -14.4%

ATL +0.7%

ATL +32.2%

ATL +27.7%

ATL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	14.4	116.0	122.2	112.0
season	15.3	13.3		121.7	110.1
opponent	14.3	14.3		115.1	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	13.6	15.5	13.9	14.6
ATL	12.7	14.7	16.5	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	20	19	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-12	19	14.5	14.6	-0.06	15.7	14.0	1.66
Miles McBride	56	57	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.17	13	-18	31	14.2	15.0	-0.80	15.9	12.2	3.74
Tyler Kolek	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	14.6	14.6	-0.03	13.5	14.5	-1.01
OG Anunoby	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.5	15.4	-0.88	14.6	13.0	1.58
Jalen Brunson	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	1	-7	15.0	13.4	1.61	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Mikal Bridges	82	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	9	-23	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	7	-19	14.6	14.5	0.06	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Josh Hart	81	80	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	9	-23	14.6	14.7	-0.10	13.8	16.5	-2.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	81	85	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.17	26	-21	47	13.6	17.8	-4.20	14.9	13.1	1.73
Zaccharie Risacher	78	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-9	23	13.8	16.5	-2.71	14.5	15.1	-0.69
Trae Young	72	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	14.0	15.3	-1.36	14.7	14.2	0.55
Clint Capela	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	13.7	15.3	-1.58	14.8	14.4	0.40
Dyson Daniels	75	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.7	14.2	0.55
Onyeka Okongwu	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	0	5	15.3	13.7	1.58	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Keaton Wallace	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	15.3	14.0	1.36	14.2	14.7	-0.55
Garrison Mathews	41	39	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	13	-21	16.3	12.9	3.37	14.1	14.9	-0.86
David Roddy	22	19	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.17	-18	23	-41	16.6	13.7	2.89	14.6	14.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.15,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.69,1	90.7%
HOU 113, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.84,1	90.6%
CHI 115, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.16,0.16,0.58,1	90.0%