inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 115 Excitement10.1 [62] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +101.8%
Boston Celtics 118 Comeback9.4 [203] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -17.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon1.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.58,0.56,0.66,1.020.330.700.012474%1.0200.00989%0.05
Kirk Hinrich0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.050.012117%0.151-0.042100%0.01
Joakim Noah0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.070.070.010.01968%0.111-0.041100%0.01
Linton Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
John Salmons-0.020,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.030.001744%0.032-0.04580%0.01
Derrick Rose-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.011145%0.042-0.1000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00737%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Brad Miller-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.10.01-0.100.01867%0.044-0.14887%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,1.011.010.230.78-0.011871%1.0100.006100%0.04
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.210.210.100.10-0.012158%0.221-0.02367%0.03
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.08-0.01970%0.193-0.08540%-0.03
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00437%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.001843%0.022-0.09862%-0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.12-0.021944%-0.094-0.08367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.12.837.020.428.43.538.4160.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +8.0%
CHI -10.9%
BOS +33.6%
BOS +18.9%
BOS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIBOSNBACHIBOSNBA
this game13.616.715.5119.8125.5106.4
season14.815.8106.3108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.013.814.012.813.6
BOS13.716.218.718.816.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller73710.25-0.750.99-0.2818-213913.115.3-2.2517.015.91.06
Linton Johnson33-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-459.713.8-4.108.317.0-8.66
Lindsey Hunter1618-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-6915.213.31.8612.617.7-5.07
Ben Gordon8885-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-2113.316.9-3.5316.717.1-0.44
Derrick Rose6664-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.320-3313.813.30.5418.213.64.62
Joakim Noah7976-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.38-41-513.116.1-3.0216.916.10.81
Kirk Hinrich3838-0.510.01-0.51-0.39-41-512.814.2-1.3617.316.31.01
John Salmons8077-0.530.03-0.56-0.32-74-1113.912.31.5916.219.1-2.86
Tyrus Thomas3738-0.730.23-0.95-0.11-2118-3916.212.14.1116.616.8-0.22

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Davis80820.87-0.371.240.2820-173717.015.02.0113.713.40.33
Rajon Rondo78810.82-0.321.140.3217-143116.517.6-1.1013.713.50.12
Paul Pierce87870.56-0.060.620.425-2717.013.73.2413.811.82.05
Ray Allen74780.500.000.490.355-2716.915.81.1013.215.5-2.29
Kendrick Perkins60630.300.200.10-0.0512-92117.515.22.3114.112.81.34
Eddie House27290.160.34-0.170.34-69-1515.717.1-1.3613.813.60.28
Tony Allen010.020.48-0.450.0203-30.016.7-16.714.013.7-9.74
Leon Powe1716-0.100.60-0.700.07-69-1515.417.0-1.5914.213.50.74
Mikki Moore2523-0.280.78-1.060.22-1720-3715.717.1-1.4113.213.8-0.61
Stephon Marbury2220-0.360.86-1.210.08-1518-3315.617.0-1.4113.013.8-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.16,0.16,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 93, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.58,190.7%
MIA 95, MEM 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.38,0.61,0.29,0.55,0.83,190.0%
MEM 92, BOS 950.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.42,189.4%