NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	123		Excitement	3.1 [1141]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +21.7%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.2 [1074]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -12.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.02	-0.03	21	62%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	72%	0.11	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	90%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	29%	-0.01	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.06	5	91%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	12	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.02	-0.10	20	44%	0.09	6	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	15	47%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.06	10	10%	-0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.5	14.6	23.6	2.5	23.4	116.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.0%

ATL -5.2%

ATL -4.5%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.7	14.4	116.0	87.7	113.1
season	15.3	13.2		118.7	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.5		114.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	11.9	13.8	14.5	13.5
ATL	13.4	14.2	14.5	12.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	51	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.34	31	6	25	12.5	14.1	-1.56	14.9	13.0	1.92
Jayson Tatum	66	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.30	27	10	17	13.5	12.6	0.82	14.3	13.6	0.63
Derrick White	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.51	31	6	25	13.2	13.2	-0.01	14.2	13.8	0.36
Al Horford	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	14	9	13.1	13.3	-0.23	14.5	13.6	0.96
Payton Pritchard	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.30	21	16	5	12.6	14.1	-1.48	14.1	14.1	-0.06
Jrue Holiday	54	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	17	3	13.6	12.7	0.81	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Sam Hauser	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	29	-21	13.5	13.0	0.48	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Xavier Tillman	7	7	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	33	-29	14.3	13.1	1.16	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Jordan Walsh	28	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.27	10	27	-17	13.9	12.9	1.02	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Baylor Scheierman	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	33	-29	11.0	13.4	-2.37	13.3	14.1	-0.79
Jaden Springer	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	33	-29	11.0	13.4	-2.37	13.3	14.1	-0.79
Luke Kornet	35	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.22	2	35	-33	14.0	12.7	1.30	12.9	14.8	-1.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keaton Wallace	47	45	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.17	-4	-28	24	12.8	14.7	-1.92	14.5	12.3	2.22
David Roddy	55	57	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-33	34	12.7	15.3	-2.67	14.2	12.1	2.08
Mouhamed Gueye	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-33	34	11.5	14.1	-2.67	12.6	13.4	-0.73
Dominick Barlow	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-33	34	11.5	14.1	-2.67	12.6	13.4	-0.73
Onyeka Okongwu	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-16	0	13.9	13.8	0.07	14.0	12.6	1.36
Garrison Mathews	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-16	0	13.5	14.1	-0.57	13.8	12.8	1.00
Clint Capela	37	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-15	-2	14.5	13.4	1.06	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Zaccharie Risacher	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	-6	-18	14.2	12.8	1.36	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Jalen Johnson	70	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.53	-33	1	-34	14.2	12.8	1.46	12.7	14.6	-1.94
Dyson Daniels	51	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	-9	-14	14.5	13.0	1.51	13.6	13.0	0.58
Trae Young	51	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.27	-28	-4	-24	14.7	12.8	1.92	12.3	14.5	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, GSW 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
OKC 114, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
LAL 117, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%