NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Excitement	3.6 [1064]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +9.4%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.1 [1118]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -11.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	21	51%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	22	51%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	18	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Alex Ducas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	4	40%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.06	6	69%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	19%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	67%	0.06	7	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	11	14%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	30%	-0.07	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	29.8	15.2	22.6	1.8	30.0	128.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +20.7%

OKC +2.7%

CHI -1.0%

OKC +27.4%

OKC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	12.9	12.1	14.4	99.1	81.9	113.1
season	13.7	13.2		118.4	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.7		114.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	12.5	13.2	13.9	12.9
CHI	13.3	11.5	11.2	12.3	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	-4	27	12.4	12.8	-0.43	12.2	12.3	-0.12
Luguentz Dort	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	3	13	12.3	12.9	-0.61	12.1	12.4	-0.24
Cason Wallace	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	4	11	12.2	13.4	-1.21	12.2	12.3	-0.09
Aaron Wiggins	35	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	2	15	12.8	12.5	0.32	13.8	11.5	2.33
Ousmane Dieng	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	13	-7	13.0	12.3	0.70	13.8	11.4	2.45
Jalen Williams	79	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	14	-9	12.7	12.2	0.43	11.8	13.4	-1.55
Chet Holmgren	72	73	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	11	-3	12.4	12.8	-0.42	11.5	13.7	-2.17
Isaiah Joe	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	15	-11	13.3	12.3	1.03	11.8	12.4	-0.56
Alex Caruso	51	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	17	-15	13.1	12.1	1.03	12.5	12.0	0.45
Alex Ducas	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.7	12.6	5.16	9.0	12.2	-3.24
Dillon Jones	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	11.0	12.6	-1.57	18.0	12.1	5.87
Ajay Mitchell	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	19	-19	12.1	12.8	-0.70	11.2	12.7	-1.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-20	20	13.0	12.1	0.93	11.3	12.6	-1.36
Lonzo Ball	40	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-23	26	12.1	12.1	0.03	12.6	12.6	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	59	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-15	10	11.9	12.4	-0.47	13.2	11.8	1.41
Jalen Smith	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-14	8	12.6	12.0	0.59	12.6	12.5	0.08
Julian Phillips	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-6	-8	11.7	12.3	-0.61	13.1	12.3	0.83
Patrick Williams	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-8	-4	11.8	12.6	-0.81	12.0	13.6	-1.59
Josh Giddey	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	1	-22	12.2	12.0	0.14	12.3	12.9	-0.56
Nikola Vucevic	82	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-6	-8	12.0	12.6	-0.59	12.5	12.6	-0.08
Zach LaVine	87	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-9	-2	12.0	12.5	-0.43	12.3	13.4	-1.08
Coby White	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	0	-20	12.8	10.9	1.84	12.9	11.9	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.31,0.29,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
POR 88, LAC 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAC 99, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.1%