NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	99		Excitement	3.5 [1109]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +5.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -11.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	16	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	15	93%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	35%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	13	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.19	-0.00	0.13	20	64%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Deyonta Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	0.09	18	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	0.07	11	56%	-0.03	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	34.4	16.4	26.2	2.5	37.5	145.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.9%

LAC +9.0%

LAC +4.9%

LAC +12.8%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.8	102.1	90.7	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		110.8	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	12.1	15.8	15.7	14.3
MEM	15.6	17.4	14.8	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.09	14	-3	17	13.7	16.4	-2.73	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Chris Paul	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	13.7	15.8	-2.07	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Blake Griffin	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	3	5	14.0	15.2	-1.25	15.4	15.3	0.06
JJ Redick	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	5	1	14.1	14.7	-0.62	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Austin Rivers	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-3	17	14.3	14.4	-0.09	16.1	14.8	1.30
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	0	11	13.0	15.1	-2.11	16.2	14.8	1.41
Wesley Johnson	25	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	8	-5	15.2	14.0	1.25	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.32	-7	18	-25	15.4	13.3	2.17	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Raymond Felton	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	12	-13	15.9	13.4	2.47	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Marreese Speights	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.09	-3	14	-17	16.4	13.7	2.73	15.8	15.2	0.60

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-9	7	11.5	15.5	-3.96	1.0	14.4	-13.45
Troy Williams	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	12.2	15.8	-3.57	17.0	14.0	3.03
Troy Daniels	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-11	11	17.0	15.2	1.83	17.8	13.9	3.89
Jarell Martin	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.14	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Vince Carter	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-11	11	14.8	15.9	-1.18	14.5	14.1	0.43
Wade Baldwin	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-1	-9	15.1	15.5	-0.35	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Andrew Harrison	7	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-1	-9	19.4	15.1	4.36	6.4	14.9	-8.49
JaMychal Green	32	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-2	-7	16.3	14.9	1.39	14.9	14.0	0.88
Mike Conley	75	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-15	19	15.2	16.0	-0.80	15.2	11.5	3.68
Zach Randolph	58	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-13	15	15.0	15.9	-0.86	14.4	14.1	0.31
Tony Allen	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	4	-19	16.8	14.5	2.27	13.2	15.1	-1.89
James Ennis	74	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	15.0	16.6	-1.55	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Marc Gasol	73	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-7	3	15.9	13.9	2.00	14.6	13.4	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
BOS 99, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%