NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	128		Excitement	2.7 [1214]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +12.8%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.1 [846]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -13.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	12	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	-0.00	-0.06	8	76%	0.14	5	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	11	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	9	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.09	12	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
James Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	11	29%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	16	32%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	31.2	17.4	22.6	2.5	27.5	125.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +45.9%

NYK -1.5%

DAL +1.4%

DAL +1.2%

DAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.3	137.6	84.8	106.0
season	15.2	14.7		107.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	16.6	14.9	13.3	14.7
NYK	15.2	16.9	17.9	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	68	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.73	40	10	30	14.8	14.2	0.62	16.0	17.7	-1.73
Dirk Nowitzki	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.68	38	12	26	15.4	13.4	1.98	16.5	16.5	0.03
Shawn Marion	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.60	34	16	18	15.2	13.8	1.36	16.3	16.9	-0.65
Drew Gooden	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.82	41	9	32	14.9	14.1	0.80	15.8	18.1	-2.35
Rodrigue Beaubois	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	30	-10	14.4	14.9	-0.57	16.7	16.3	0.33
Jose Juan Barea	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.65	30	20	10	14.9	14.4	0.57	16.3	16.7	-0.33
James Singleton	38	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.27	16	34	-18	14.3	14.9	-0.62	17.2	16.0	1.22
Josh Howard	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.38	18	32	-14	14.4	14.7	-0.30	17.4	16.1	1.30
Quinton Ross	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	43	-36	13.2	15.1	-1.85	17.0	16.3	0.72
Tim Thomas	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	45	-40	13.1	15.0	-1.92	17.4	16.3	1.19
Matt Carroll	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	49	-48	13.2	14.9	-1.70	17.1	16.4	0.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Landry	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-41	32	16.1	16.6	-0.48	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Jonathan Bender	31	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.47	-16	-34	18	16.5	16.5	-0.01	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Toney Douglas	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.66	-26	-24	-2	17.1	15.9	1.17	13.6	15.7	-2.09
Jordan Hill	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-41	32	18.1	15.8	2.35	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Al Harrington	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.54	-28	-22	-6	16.4	16.5	-0.09	15.2	14.3	0.85
Jared Jeffries	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.46	-27	-23	-4	16.7	16.1	0.59	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Wilson Chandler	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.71	-37	-13	-24	16.1	17.0	-0.85	15.0	14.2	0.75
David Lee	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.70	-37	-13	-24	16.2	17.1	-0.94	15.0	14.0	1.02
Chris Duhon	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.57	-33	-17	-16	16.0	18.0	-2.01	14.9	14.0	0.81
Danilo Gallinari	53	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	-22	-6	16.5	16.5	0.00	15.6	13.5	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
DET 117, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%