NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	3.0 [1173]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	1.1 [599]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -8.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.27	0.00	0.16	23	76%	0.12	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	70%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	15	57%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	11	44%	-0.01	4	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.11	8	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	51%	0.06	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	5	90%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	45%	-0.05	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	27.3	15.8	28.1	3.5	21.4	123.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.5%

BOS -4.4%

NYK +23.3%

NYK +10.4%

BOS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	13.6	14.5	121.6	113.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.9		116.8	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	15.6	15.7	18.9	16.3
BOS	14.9	13.2	13.7	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	74	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	-20	49	15.5	18.9	-3.41	13.9	12.4	1.48
OG Anunoby	53	53	0.49	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-11	31	15.9	16.7	-0.88	13.9	13.1	0.81
Isaiah Hartenstein	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	9	-9	16.6	15.6	1.01	13.8	13.1	0.67
Jalen Brunson	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.36	28	-19	47	15.2	18.1	-2.89	13.9	13.0	0.92
Bojan Bogdanovic	50	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.44	-2	11	-13	17.3	15.2	2.13	13.3	13.8	-0.52
Precious Achiuwa	31	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.52	-9	18	-27	18.4	15.3	3.16	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Donte DiVincenzo	83	83	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	17	-25	16.4	15.3	1.15	13.2	15.7	-2.46
Miles McBride	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.32	-9	18	-27	16.7	15.9	0.88	13.3	13.8	-0.53
Mitchell Robinson	31	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.19	7	2	5	15.6	16.6	-1.01	13.6	13.6	-0.02

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	40	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.63	22	-31	53	13.1	13.9	-0.79	17.5	15.4	2.16
Luke Kornet	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-24	39	10.2	14.1	-3.94	19.2	15.8	3.42
Xavier Tillman	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	16.0	13.2	2.79	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Jaden Springer	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.62	21	-30	51	13.0	13.8	-0.81	17.7	15.8	1.96
Svi Mykhailiuk	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.62	21	-30	51	13.0	13.8	-0.81	17.7	15.8	1.96
Sam Hauser	44	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.59	16	-25	41	13.6	13.5	0.09	16.2	16.3	-0.16
Al Horford	30	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.26	-18	9	-27	13.6	13.6	0.01	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Kristaps Porzingis	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	5	-19	13.6	13.5	0.03	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Jrue Holiday	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.37	-26	17	-43	13.8	13.2	0.65	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Jayson Tatum	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.41	-30	21	-51	14.0	12.7	1.22	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Jaylen Brown	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.38	-29	20	-49	13.7	13.3	0.43	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Derrick White	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.38	-29	20	-49	13.7	13.3	0.43	15.6	17.4	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.31,0.29,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DET 117, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 101, GSW 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%